TBBuccaneers
8-5
16
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
73°F
5 mph
13
MIADolphins
9-3
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
73°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
0
4
0
6
10
Dolphins
3
0
10
0
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
221
254
Total Plays
56
55
Yards / Play
3.9
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.15
-0.27
Passing Yards
121
170
Comp/Att
11/15(73%)
13/27(48%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
6.3
EPA / Pass
+0.25
-0.29
Rushing Yards
100
84
Rush Attempts
38
27
Yards / Rush
2.6
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.34
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
17
Passing 1st downs
8
10
Rushing 1st downs
4
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
31%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
9
Red Zone %
0%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
5
Interceptions
1
4
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-2.19
-18.82
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-26
-5
Sack EPA
-5.31
-0.68
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
63
46
Penalty EPA
-3.88
-2.69
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
5
Yards / Game
22
6
Passing Yards / Game
28
6
Rushing Yards / Game
9
16
EPA
EPA / Play
17
4
EPA / Pass
17
6
EPA / Rush
9
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
26
Interceptions / Game
4
2
Fumbles / Game
4
22
Turnover EPA / Game
27
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
5
4th Down Efficiency
24
14
RZ Efficiency
8
8
Dolphins Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
8
Yards / Game
23
9
Passing Yards / Game
24
22
Rushing Yards / Game
13
11
EPA
EPA / Play
21
5
EPA / Pass
16
4
EPA / Rush
20
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
15
Interceptions / Game
24
5
Fumbles / Game
8
6
Turnover EPA / Game
17
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
7
4th Down Efficiency
12
22
RZ Efficiency
6
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Dolphins
8-2
SU
8-1-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U