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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. buccaneers @ eagles week 20, 2002

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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TB logo
TBBuccaneers
13-4
27
TBD
Veterans Stadium
26°F
14 mph
10
PHIEagles
13-4
PHI logo
TBD
Veterans Stadium
26°F
14 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
10
7
3
1
21
Eagles
7
3
0
0
10

Game Statistics

General
Buccaneers logo
Eagles logo
Total Yards
308
312
Total Plays
65
72
Yards / Play
4.7
4.3
EPA / Play
+0.03
-0.28
Passing Yards
--
232
Comp/Att
20/33(61%)
26/49(53%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.7
EPA / Pass
+0.20
-0.49
Rushing Yards
49
80
Rush Attempts
32
21
Yards / Rush
1.5
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
Buccaneers logo
Eagles logo
1st Downs
15
20
Passing 1st downs
8
15
Rushing 1st downs
7
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
40%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
16
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Buccaneers logo
Eagles logo
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-3.67
-19.09
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-11
Sack EPA
--
-7.25
Penalties
3
5
Penalty Yards
16
45
Penalty EPA
-2.00
-4.12

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
TB logo
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Buccaneers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Buccaneers logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
11
2
Yards / Game
24
5
Passing Yards / Game
28
10
Rushing Yards / Game
25
7

EPA

EPA / Play
21
2
EPA / Pass
15
3
EPA / Rush
25
1

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
28
16
Interceptions / Game
4
19
Fumbles / Game
11
4
Turnover EPA / Game
21
30

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
25
1
4th Down Efficiency
8
5
RZ Efficiency
23
3
Eagles Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Eagles logo
Buccaneers logo

Total

Points / Game
5
1
Yards / Game
11
1
Passing Yards / Game
11
9
Rushing Yards / Game
8
3

EPA

EPA / Play
16
1
EPA / Pass
22
1
EPA / Rush
10
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
32
17
Interceptions / Game
2
1
Fumbles / Game
23
26
Turnover EPA / Game
25
32

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
3
4th Down Efficiency
15
21
RZ Efficiency
28
1

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

TB logo

Buccaneers

8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/27
3
W
L
P
11/03
14
W
W
P
11/17
13
W
W
P
11/24
14
W
W
P
12/01
-3
L
L
P
12/08
24
W
W
P
12/15
3
W
L
P
12/23
-10
L
L
P
12/29
15
W
W
P
01/12
25
W
W
P
PHI logo

Eagles

8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/03
6
W
L
P
11/10
-22
L
L
P
11/17
24
W
W
P
11/25
21
W
W
P
12/01
7
W
W
P
12/08
7
W
W
P
12/15
13
W
W
P
12/21
24
W
W
P
12/28
-3
L
L
P
01/11
14
W
W
P