TBBuccaneers
4-4
27
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
014
ATLFalcons
3-6
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
7
7
3
10
27
Falcons
0
0
7
7
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
267
283
Total Plays
64
68
Yards / Play
4.2
4.2
EPA / Play
-0.04
-0.30
Passing Yards
141
220
Comp/Att
12/26(46%)
30/49(61%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
4.5
EPA / Pass
-0.21
-0.32
Rushing Yards
126
59
Rush Attempts
36
15
Yards / Rush
3.5
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.01
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
22
Passing 1st downs
7
14
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
29%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
40%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
1
4
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-9.31
-17.59
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-5
-23
Sack EPA
-4.30
-4.66
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
43
25
Penalty EPA
-3.90
-4.20
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
26
Yards / Game
22
25
Passing Yards / Game
28
19
Rushing Yards / Game
9
26
EPA
EPA / Play
17
24
EPA / Pass
17
23
EPA / Rush
9
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
2
Interceptions / Game
4
22
Fumbles / Game
4
25
Turnover EPA / Game
27
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
10
4th Down Efficiency
24
21
RZ Efficiency
8
13
Falcons Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
8
Yards / Game
30
9
Passing Yards / Game
20
22
Rushing Yards / Game
28
11
EPA
EPA / Play
28
5
EPA / Pass
30
4
EPA / Rush
28
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
15
Interceptions / Game
23
5
Fumbles / Game
23
7
Turnover EPA / Game
7
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
7
4th Down Efficiency
18
22
RZ Efficiency
30
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Falcons
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U