TBBuccaneers
9-4
10
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
013
ATLFalcons
8-5
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Buccaneers
0
7
0
3
0
10
Falcons
10
0
0
0
3
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
325
373
Total Plays
67
67
Yards / Play
4.9
5.6
EPA / Play
-0.22
-0.18
Passing Yards
226
198
Comp/Att
26/37(70%)
15/23(65%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
8.6
EPA / Pass
-0.13
-0.22
Rushing Yards
99
175
Rush Attempts
26
43
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.08
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
18
Passing 1st downs
14
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
21%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.47
-9.39
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-43
-8
Sack EPA
-9.50
-2.12
Penalties
11
3
Penalty Yards
76
20
Penalty EPA
-6.74
-3.14
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
11
Yards / Game
13
24
Passing Yards / Game
18
23
Rushing Yards / Game
14
24
EPA
EPA / Play
21
16
EPA / Pass
17
17
EPA / Rush
25
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
28
Interceptions / Game
11
27
Fumbles / Game
25
21
Turnover EPA / Game
13
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
14
4th Down Efficiency
12
13
RZ Efficiency
30
15
Falcons Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
9
Yards / Game
6
9
Passing Yards / Game
31
13
Rushing Yards / Game
3
19
EPA
EPA / Play
7
6
EPA / Pass
8
6
EPA / Rush
10
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
15
Interceptions / Game
9
3
Fumbles / Game
7
22
Turnover EPA / Game
27
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
10
4th Down Efficiency
15
4
RZ Efficiency
11
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Falcons
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U