TBBuccaneers
10-3
23
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
020
DETLions
3-10
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
3
10
0
10
23
Lions
0
10
3
7
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
376
292
Total Plays
69
49
Yards / Play
5.4
6.0
EPA / Play
+0.19
+0.13
Passing Yards
--
148
Comp/Att
24/41(59%)
10/22(45%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.7
EPA / Pass
+0.10
-0.20
Rushing Yards
123
144
Rush Attempts
28
26
Yards / Rush
4.4
5.5
EPA / Rush
+0.17
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
15
Passing 1st downs
10
5
Rushing 1st downs
11
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
43%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
10
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-4.76
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-10
Sack EPA
--
-2.99
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
67
36
Penalty EPA
-12.29
-5.08
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
31
Yards / Game
24
31
Passing Yards / Game
28
24
Rushing Yards / Game
25
19
EPA
EPA / Play
21
25
EPA / Pass
15
29
EPA / Rush
25
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
32
Interceptions / Game
4
26
Fumbles / Game
11
6
Turnover EPA / Game
21
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
29
4th Down Efficiency
8
30
RZ Efficiency
23
28
Lions Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
1
Yards / Game
28
1
Passing Yards / Game
32
9
Rushing Yards / Game
29
3
EPA
EPA / Play
28
1
EPA / Pass
29
1
EPA / Rush
24
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
17
Interceptions / Game
31
1
Fumbles / Game
2
26
Turnover EPA / Game
10
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
3
4th Down Efficiency
22
21
RZ Efficiency
29
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U