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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. buccaneers @ packers week 5, 1999

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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    +EV NFL Sides
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    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
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    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

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  • QB Rankings
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  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

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TB logo
TBBuccaneers
2-2
23
TBD
Lambeau Field
58°F
8 mph
26
GBPackers
2-1
GB logo
TBD
Lambeau Field
58°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
0
13
0
10
23
Packers
10
3
3
10
26

Game Statistics

General
Buccaneers logo
Packers logo
Total Yards
273
450
Total Plays
59
65
Yards / Play
4.6
6.9
EPA / Play
+0.04
+0.01
Passing Yards
100
344
Comp/Att
16/25(64%)
22/38(58%)
Yards / Pass
4.0
9.1
EPA / Pass
-0.24
+0.10
Rushing Yards
173
98
Rush Attempts
32
23
Yards / Rush
5.4
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.28
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
Buccaneers logo
Packers logo
1st Downs
21
18
Passing 1st downs
8
12
Rushing 1st downs
11
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
33%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
16
Red Zone %
20%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Buccaneers logo
Packers logo
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-14.28
-4.12
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-10
-38
Sack EPA
-4.13
-7.01
Penalties
3
8
Penalty Yards
40
83
Penalty EPA
-6.62
-2.91

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
TB logo
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Buccaneers Offense vs Packers Defense
Buccaneers logo
Packers logo

Total

Points / Game
29
18
Yards / Game
28
18
Passing Yards / Game
30
11
Rushing Yards / Game
18
22

EPA

EPA / Play
29
23
EPA / Pass
28
22
EPA / Rush
28
19

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
18
22
Interceptions / Game
14
4
Fumbles / Game
25
16
Turnover EPA / Game
14
22

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
21
4th Down Efficiency
12
11
RZ Efficiency
28
12
Packers Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Packers logo
Buccaneers logo

Total

Points / Game
10
2
Yards / Game
9
3
Passing Yards / Game
3
5
Rushing Yards / Game
21
4

EPA

EPA / Play
9
1
EPA / Pass
13
1
EPA / Rush
16
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
13
Interceptions / Game
28
9
Fumbles / Game
25
20
Turnover EPA / Game
15
17

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
12
8
4th Down Efficiency
31
6
RZ Efficiency
10
1

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

TB logo

Buccaneers

2-2
SU
2-1-1
ATS
0-0-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/12
-4
L
L
P
09/19
14
W
W
P
09/26
3
W
W
P
10/03
-7
L
P
P
GB logo

Packers

2-1
SU
1-2
ATS
0-0-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/12
4
W
L
P
09/19
-8
L
L
P
09/26
3
W
W
P