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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. buccaneers @ packers week 17, 2000

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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TB logo
TBBuccaneers
10-5
14
TBD
Lambeau Field
15°F
15 mph
17
GBPackers
8-7
GB logo
TBD
Lambeau Field
15°F
15 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Buccaneers
0
0
3
11
0
14
Packers
7
0
7
0
3
17

Game Statistics

General
Buccaneers logo
Packers logo
Total Yards
274
319
Total Plays
71
80
Yards / Play
3.9
4.0
EPA / Play
-0.11
-0.10
Passing Yards
205
167
Comp/Att
21/42(50%)
20/41(49%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
4.1
EPA / Pass
-0.09
-0.29
Rushing Yards
69
135
Rush Attempts
24
38
Yards / Rush
2.9
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.17
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
Buccaneers logo
Packers logo
1st Downs
16
21
Passing 1st downs
14
10
Rushing 1st downs
2
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
13%
39%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
16
18
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Buccaneers logo
Packers logo
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-13.46
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-32
-12
Sack EPA
-6.54
-1.83
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
54
43
Penalty EPA
-3.74
-1.27

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
TB logo
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Buccaneers Offense vs Packers Defense
Buccaneers logo
Packers logo

Total

Points / Game
8
13
Yards / Game
22
15
Passing Yards / Game
28
17
Rushing Yards / Game
9
8

EPA

EPA / Play
17
20
EPA / Pass
17
21
EPA / Rush
9
13

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
29
21
Interceptions / Game
4
7
Fumbles / Game
4
30
Turnover EPA / Game
27
13

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
27
13
4th Down Efficiency
24
23
RZ Efficiency
8
21
Packers Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Packers logo
Buccaneers logo

Total

Points / Game
11
8
Yards / Game
14
9
Passing Yards / Game
3
22
Rushing Yards / Game
23
11

EPA

EPA / Play
7
5
EPA / Pass
14
4
EPA / Rush
8
20

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
11
15
Interceptions / Game
13
5
Fumbles / Game
26
6
Turnover EPA / Game
18
27

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
14
7
4th Down Efficiency
8
22
RZ Efficiency
13
7

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

TB logo

Buccaneers

7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/09
-7
L
L
P
10/19
-14
L
L
P
10/29
28
W
W
P
11/05
13
W
W
P
11/12
5
W
L
P
11/19
-3
L
L
P
11/26
14
W
W
P
12/03
20
W
W
P
12/10
3
W
W
P
12/18
3
W
W
P
GB logo

Packers

6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/08
-7
L
L
P
10/15
3
W
L
P
10/29
-8
L
L
P
11/06
6
W
W
P
11/12
-5
L
W
P
11/19
2
W
W
P
11/27
-17
L
L
P
12/03
22
W
W
P
12/10
13
W
W
P
12/17
5
W
W
P