TBBuccaneers
2-11
17
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
60°F
019
CARPanthers
4-8
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
60°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
7
3
0
7
17
Panthers
6
3
7
3
19
Spread
+3.5
Total
UNDER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
287
392
Total Plays
54
75
Yards / Play
5.3
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.09
-0.04
Passing Yards
136
269
Comp/Att
13/28(46%)
25/40(63%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
6.7
EPA / Pass
-0.29
+0.18
Rushing Yards
151
123
Rush Attempts
23
32
Yards / Rush
6.6
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.27
-0.26
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
28
Passing 1st downs
9
18
Rushing 1st downs
6
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
42%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-8.11
-5.48
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-18
-8
Sack EPA
-9.28
-3.76
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
29
--
Penalty EPA
-3.86
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model53.4%
Spread Pick
Buccaneers+3.5
Expected Value
+14.7%
Cover Probability
60.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-31
Home nfelo
1,384
Away nfelo
1,393
Home Field
+34.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-57.3
Home QB Adjustment
-65.0
Away QB Adjustment
-7.8
Market Regression
-32.5
Final Difference
23.8
Model Spread
-1.5
Quarterbacks
J. McCown
Proj. Value
-2.0
Team Elo Adj
-7.8
D. Anderson
Proj. Value
-3.3
Team Elo Adj
-65.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
20
Yards / Game
30
6
Passing Yards / Game
14
19
Rushing Yards / Game
29
11
EPA
EPA / Play
29
16
EPA / Pass
27
14
EPA / Rush
25
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
14
Interceptions / Game
31
15
Fumbles / Game
22
4
Turnover EPA / Game
6
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
21
4th Down Efficiency
29
14
RZ Efficiency
18
29
Panthers Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
25
Yards / Game
15
24
Passing Yards / Game
20
24
Rushing Yards / Game
7
18
EPA
EPA / Play
17
24
EPA / Pass
19
28
EPA / Rush
11
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
3
Interceptions / Game
14
16
Fumbles / Game
14
10
Turnover EPA / Game
12
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
27
4th Down Efficiency
10
24
RZ Efficiency
25
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Panthers
2-7-1
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U