TBBuccaneers
0-3
21
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
024
NOSaints
3-1
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
7
0
7
7
21
Saints
3
7
7
1
18
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
406
314
Total Plays
66
58
Yards / Play
6.2
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.07
Passing Yards
219
--
Comp/Att
20/31(65%)
21/33(64%)
Yards / Pass
7.1
--
EPA / Pass
+0.09
-0.00
Rushing Yards
187
143
Rush Attempts
33
25
Yards / Rush
5.7
5.7
EPA / Rush
+0.10
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
15
Passing 1st downs
9
8
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
38%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.11
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-6
--
Sack EPA
-5.88
--
Penalties
8
9
Penalty Yards
--
49
Penalty EPA
--
-8.64
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
19
Yards / Game
29
11
Passing Yards / Game
19
10
Rushing Yards / Game
28
24
EPA
EPA / Play
31
18
EPA / Pass
31
15
EPA / Rush
24
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
26
Interceptions / Game
20
30
Fumbles / Game
21
30
Turnover EPA / Game
7
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
5
4th Down Efficiency
31
21
RZ Efficiency
23
22
Saints Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
22
Yards / Game
1
16
Passing Yards / Game
3
12
Rushing Yards / Game
19
17
EPA
EPA / Play
6
13
EPA / Pass
3
28
EPA / Rush
15
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
18
Interceptions / Game
5
28
Fumbles / Game
24
25
Turnover EPA / Game
15
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
14
4th Down Efficiency
11
10
RZ Efficiency
10
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U