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  1. nfelo...
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  3. buccaneers @ saints week 9, 1999

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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TB logo
TBBuccaneers
3-4
31
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0
16
NOSaints
1-6
NO logo
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
7
10
7
7
31
Saints
3
3
0
10
16

Game Statistics

General
Buccaneers logo
Saints logo
Total Yards
381
303
Total Plays
61
61
Yards / Play
6.2
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.17
-0.12
Passing Yards
225
205
Comp/Att
15/20(75%)
18/37(49%)
Yards / Pass
11.3
5.5
EPA / Pass
+0.79
-0.09
Rushing Yards
156
98
Rush Attempts
40
23
Yards / Rush
3.9
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.09
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
Buccaneers logo
Saints logo
1st Downs
18
21
Passing 1st downs
10
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
69%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
11
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
11
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Buccaneers logo
Saints logo
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-12.49
-12.63
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-2
-6
Sack EPA
-5.33
-1.24
Penalties
9
5
Penalty Yards
70
40
Penalty EPA
-6.75
-3.38

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
TB logo
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Buccaneers Offense vs Saints Defense
Buccaneers logo
Saints logo

Total

Points / Game
29
28
Yards / Game
28
19
Passing Yards / Game
30
18
Rushing Yards / Game
18
19

EPA

EPA / Play
29
27
EPA / Pass
28
20
EPA / Rush
28
28

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
18
16
Interceptions / Game
14
13
Fumbles / Game
25
10
Turnover EPA / Game
14
29

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
20
4th Down Efficiency
12
31
RZ Efficiency
28
28
Saints Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Saints logo
Buccaneers logo

Total

Points / Game
28
2
Yards / Game
19
3
Passing Yards / Game
20
5
Rushing Yards / Game
17
4

EPA

EPA / Play
30
1
EPA / Pass
25
1
EPA / Rush
21
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
25
13
Interceptions / Game
30
9
Fumbles / Game
6
20
Turnover EPA / Game
1
17

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
25
8
4th Down Efficiency
19
6
RZ Efficiency
24
1

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

TB logo

Buccaneers

3-4
SU
3-3-1
ATS
0-0-7
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/12
-4
L
L
P
09/19
14
W
W
P
09/26
3
W
W
P
10/03
-7
L
P
P
10/10
-3
L
W
P
10/24
3
W
L
P
10/31
-17
L
L
P
NO logo

Saints

1-6
SU
2-4-1
ATS
0-0-7
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/12
9
W
W
P
09/19
-7
L
W
P
10/03
-4
L
L
P
10/10
-3
L
L
P
10/17
-3
L
P
P
10/24
-28
L
L
P
10/31
-5
L
L
P