TBBuccaneers
3-4
31
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
016
NOSaints
1-6
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
7
10
7
7
31
Saints
3
3
0
10
16
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
381
303
Total Plays
61
61
Yards / Play
6.2
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.17
-0.12
Passing Yards
225
205
Comp/Att
15/20(75%)
18/37(49%)
Yards / Pass
11.3
5.5
EPA / Pass
+0.79
-0.09
Rushing Yards
156
98
Rush Attempts
40
23
Yards / Rush
3.9
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.09
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
21
Passing 1st downs
10
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
69%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
11
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
11
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-12.49
-12.63
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-2
-6
Sack EPA
-5.33
-1.24
Penalties
9
5
Penalty Yards
70
40
Penalty EPA
-6.75
-3.38
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
28
Yards / Game
28
19
Passing Yards / Game
30
18
Rushing Yards / Game
18
19
EPA
EPA / Play
29
27
EPA / Pass
28
20
EPA / Rush
28
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
16
Interceptions / Game
14
13
Fumbles / Game
25
10
Turnover EPA / Game
14
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
20
4th Down Efficiency
12
31
RZ Efficiency
28
28
Saints Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
2
Yards / Game
19
3
Passing Yards / Game
20
5
Rushing Yards / Game
17
4
EPA
EPA / Play
30
1
EPA / Pass
25
1
EPA / Rush
21
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
13
Interceptions / Game
30
9
Fumbles / Game
6
20
Turnover EPA / Game
1
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
8
4th Down Efficiency
19
6
RZ Efficiency
24
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
3-4
SU
3-3-1
ATS
0-0-7
O/U
Saints
1-6
SU
2-4-1
ATS
0-0-7
O/U