TBBuccaneers
9-2
20
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
023
NOSaints
7-4
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
0
7
3
8
18
Saints
0
6
14
3
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
285
238
Total Plays
65
62
Yards / Play
4.4
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.12
-0.12
Passing Yards
251
136
Comp/Att
28/45(62%)
10/26(38%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
5.2
EPA / Pass
+0.10
-0.17
Rushing Yards
34
102
Rush Attempts
16
32
Yards / Rush
2.1
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.44
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
14
Passing 1st downs
13
7
Rushing 1st downs
2
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
14%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
2
9
3rd Down Attempts
14
17
Red Zone %
50%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-12.89
-5.00
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-27
-29
Sack EPA
-9.23
-9.35
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
40
57
Penalty EPA
-3.72
-7.53
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
26
Yards / Game
24
27
Passing Yards / Game
28
27
Rushing Yards / Game
25
20
EPA
EPA / Play
21
16
EPA / Pass
15
19
EPA / Rush
25
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
13
Interceptions / Game
4
7
Fumbles / Game
11
1
Turnover EPA / Game
21
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
18
4th Down Efficiency
8
25
RZ Efficiency
23
23
Saints Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
1
Yards / Game
18
1
Passing Yards / Game
10
9
Rushing Yards / Game
17
3
EPA
EPA / Play
13
1
EPA / Pass
19
1
EPA / Rush
12
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
17
Interceptions / Game
12
1
Fumbles / Game
15
26
Turnover EPA / Game
15
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
3
4th Down Efficiency
6
21
RZ Efficiency
13
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
9-1
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U