TBBuccaneers
7-4
27
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
023
NOSaints
5-6
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
3
10
7
7
27
Saints
7
7
1
0
15
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
466
246
Total Plays
66
47
Yards / Play
7.1
5.2
EPA / Play
+0.08
-0.08
Passing Yards
294
162
Comp/Att
29/37(78%)
17/23(74%)
Yards / Pass
7.9
7.0
EPA / Pass
+0.21
+0.11
Rushing Yards
172
84
Rush Attempts
26
21
Yards / Rush
6.6
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.19
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
13
Passing 1st downs
16
8
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
38%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-7.01
-3.16
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-19
-17
Sack EPA
-3.27
-3.30
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
55
40
Penalty EPA
-4.63
-4.99
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
25
Yards / Game
18
26
Passing Yards / Game
21
25
Rushing Yards / Game
13
13
EPA
EPA / Play
16
23
EPA / Pass
15
30
EPA / Rush
11
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
32
Interceptions / Game
1
28
Fumbles / Game
18
18
Turnover EPA / Game
28
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
22
4th Down Efficiency
25
7
RZ Efficiency
24
15
Saints Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
3
Yards / Game
5
2
Passing Yards / Game
22
6
Rushing Yards / Game
28
16
EPA
EPA / Play
14
4
EPA / Pass
10
9
EPA / Rush
17
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
14
Interceptions / Game
20
18
Fumbles / Game
19
3
Turnover EPA / Game
10
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
20
4th Down Efficiency
17
24
RZ Efficiency
1
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U