TBBuccaneers
5-7
14
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
07
NOSaints
6-6
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
0
14
0
0
14
Saints
7
0
0
0
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
314
292
Total Plays
64
61
Yards / Play
4.9
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.18
-0.33
Passing Yards
207
202
Comp/Att
20/34(59%)
20/30(67%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
6.7
EPA / Pass
+0.18
-0.24
Rushing Yards
107
90
Rush Attempts
29
24
Yards / Rush
3.7
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.17
-0.33
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
16
Passing 1st downs
11
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
47%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
67%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
3
Turnover EPA
-3.97
-12.03
Sacks
1
7
Sack Yards
-6
-36
Sack EPA
-1.03
-15.09
Penalties
9
4
Penalty Yards
85
44
Penalty EPA
-8.84
-5.02
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
14
Yards / Game
9
18
Passing Yards / Game
21
16
Rushing Yards / Game
24
27
EPA
EPA / Play
19
15
EPA / Pass
10
14
EPA / Rush
25
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
15
Interceptions / Game
29
20
Fumbles / Game
9
18
Turnover EPA / Game
11
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
15
4th Down Efficiency
13
23
RZ Efficiency
9
15
Saints Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
3
Yards / Game
11
4
Passing Yards / Game
7
4
Rushing Yards / Game
10
14
EPA
EPA / Play
14
4
EPA / Pass
12
5
EPA / Rush
22
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
28
Interceptions / Game
1
9
Fumbles / Game
32
8
Turnover EPA / Game
13
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
5
4th Down Efficiency
31
8
RZ Efficiency
11
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
4-6
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U