TBBuccaneers
8-4
14
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
028
HOUTexans
5-7
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
0
7
7
0
14
Texans
7
7
7
7
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
305
257
Total Plays
59
66
Yards / Play
5.2
3.9
EPA / Play
-0.20
+0.01
Passing Yards
234
186
Comp/Att
25/38(66%)
27/36(75%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
5.2
EPA / Pass
-0.16
+0.15
Rushing Yards
71
71
Rush Attempts
17
27
Yards / Rush
4.2
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.42
-0.34
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
18
Passing 1st downs
11
17
Rushing 1st downs
5
1
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
23%
59%
3rd Down Conversions
3
10
3rd Down Attempts
13
17
Red Zone %
67%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-8.94
-10.13
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-32
-23
Sack EPA
-6.21
-10.42
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
25
35
Penalty EPA
-1.19
+3.02
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
22
Yards / Game
18
24
Passing Yards / Game
21
29
Rushing Yards / Game
13
19
EPA
EPA / Play
16
28
EPA / Pass
15
25
EPA / Rush
11
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
26
Interceptions / Game
1
31
Fumbles / Game
18
11
Turnover EPA / Game
28
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
23
4th Down Efficiency
25
12
RZ Efficiency
24
18
Texans Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
3
Yards / Game
14
2
Passing Yards / Game
14
6
Rushing Yards / Game
21
16
EPA
EPA / Play
7
4
EPA / Pass
16
9
EPA / Rush
9
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
14
Interceptions / Game
28
18
Fumbles / Game
31
3
Turnover EPA / Game
3
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
20
4th Down Efficiency
2
24
RZ Efficiency
6
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U