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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. buccaneers @ vikings week 3, 2001

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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TB logo
TBBuccaneers
1-0
16
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0
20
MINVikings
0-2
MIN logo
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
3
3
3
7
16
Vikings
7
3
3
7
20

Game Statistics

General
Buccaneers logo
Vikings logo
Total Yards
331
402
Total Plays
51
69
Yards / Play
6.5
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.13
+0.13
Passing Yards
223
312
Comp/Att
20/34(59%)
30/44(68%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
7.1
EPA / Pass
+0.01
+0.23
Rushing Yards
108
90
Rush Attempts
16
24
Yards / Rush
6.8
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.34
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
Buccaneers logo
Vikings logo
1st Downs
20
25
Passing 1st downs
10
19
Rushing 1st downs
8
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
13%
75%
3rd Down Conversions
1
9
3rd Down Attempts
8
12
Red Zone %
25%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Buccaneers logo
Vikings logo
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-2.43
-10.00
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-1
-10
Sack EPA
-0.88
-1.58
Penalties
3
6
Penalty Yards
25
36
Penalty EPA
-3.32
-5.66

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
TB logo
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Buccaneers Offense vs Vikings Defense
Buccaneers logo
Vikings logo

Total

Points / Game
16
26
Yards / Game
26
27
Passing Yards / Game
16
10
Rushing Yards / Game
30
30

EPA

EPA / Play
17
27
EPA / Pass
19
29
EPA / Rush
17
24

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
21
7
Interceptions / Game
11
31
Fumbles / Game
7
23
Turnover EPA / Game
28
2

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
22
24
4th Down Efficiency
2
29
RZ Efficiency
22
23
Vikings Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Vikings logo
Buccaneers logo

Total

Points / Game
24
11
Yards / Game
12
7
Passing Yards / Game
20
16
Rushing Yards / Game
24
16

EPA

EPA / Play
22
10
EPA / Pass
22
10
EPA / Rush
5
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
5
10
Interceptions / Game
27
2
Fumbles / Game
28
22
Turnover EPA / Game
2
25

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
5
13
4th Down Efficiency
18
7
RZ Efficiency
20
15

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

TB logo

Buccaneers

7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/05
13
W
W
P
11/12
5
W
L
P
11/19
-3
L
L
P
11/26
14
W
W
P
12/03
20
W
W
P
12/10
3
W
W
P
12/18
3
W
W
P
12/24
-3
L
L
P
12/31
-18
L
L
P
09/09
4
W
L
P
MIN logo

Vikings

4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/19
14
W
W
P
11/23
12
W
W
P
11/30
7
W
L
P
12/10
-11
L
L
P
12/17
-5
L
L
P
12/24
-21
L
L
P
01/06
18
W
W
P
01/14
-41
L
L
P
09/09
-11
L
L
P
09/23
-7
L
L
P