ARICardinals
1-2
16
TBD
Levi's Stadium
75°F
9 mph
35
SF49ers
3-0
TBD
Levi's Stadium
75°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
10
6
0
16
49ers
7
14
0
14
35
Spread
-15
Total
OVER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
362
395
Total Plays
68
53
Yards / Play
5.3
7.5
EPA / Play
+0.10
+0.52
Passing Yards
257
271
Comp/Att
28/41(68%)
20/21(95%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
12.9
EPA / Pass
+0.10
+1.09
Rushing Yards
105
124
Rush Attempts
26
31
Yards / Rush
4.0
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.17
+0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
30
Passing 1st downs
13
17
Rushing 1st downs
7
10
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
53%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
8
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
5
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
5
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-8
-12
Sack EPA
-2.52
-2.14
Penalties
9
4
Penalty Yards
55
21
Penalty EPA
-7.80
-2.67
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
-14.0
Current
-15.0
Model
-14.0
Win Probability
Market88.4%
Model87.6%
Spread Pick
Cardinals+15.0
Expected Value
+10.1%
Cover Probability
55.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+282
Home nfelo
1,670
Away nfelo
1,426
Home Field
+23.6
Base HFA
+42.9
Divisional Adj
-19.4
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+14.1
Home QB Adjustment
+4.2
Away QB Adjustment
-9.9
Market Regression
+4.0
Final Difference
338.9
Model Spread
-14.0
Quarterbacks
R. Dobbs
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-9.9
B. Purdy
Proj. Value
+1.5
Team Elo Adj
+4.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
4
Yards / Game
19
9
Passing Yards / Game
24
17
Rushing Yards / Game
3
5
EPA
EPA / Play
18
18
EPA / Pass
27
8
EPA / Rush
2
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
27
Interceptions / Game
15
2
Fumbles / Game
10
28
Turnover EPA / Game
20
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
27
4th Down Efficiency
28
14
RZ Efficiency
5
11
49ers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
31
Yards / Game
1
25
Passing Yards / Game
1
3
Rushing Yards / Game
4
32
EPA
EPA / Play
1
31
EPA / Pass
1
31
EPA / Rush
5
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
16
Interceptions / Game
12
19
Fumbles / Game
9
31
Turnover EPA / Game
24
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
32
4th Down Efficiency
13
8
RZ Efficiency
1
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
1-9
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
49ers
9-1
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U