ARICardinals
5-2
34
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
58°F
21 mph
20
CLEBrowns
2-5
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
58°F
21 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
7
3
14
10
34
Browns
7
13
0
0
20
Spread
-7
Total
OVER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
491
254
Total Plays
77
61
Yards / Play
6.4
4.2
EPA / Play
+0.12
-0.15
Passing Yards
372
215
Comp/Att
23/38(61%)
21/40(53%)
Yards / Pass
9.8
5.4
EPA / Pass
+0.53
+0.03
Rushing Yards
119
39
Rush Attempts
38
20
Yards / Rush
3.1
1.9
EPA / Rush
-0.38
-0.48
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
16
Passing 1st downs
17
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
1
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
81%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
13
9
3rd Down Attempts
16
16
Red Zone %
60%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
3
1
Turnover EPA
-17.80
-9.79
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-2
-8
Sack EPA
-1.54
-2.35
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
25
35
Penalty EPA
-5.13
-5.37
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market73.2%
Model66.6%
Spread Pick
Browns+7.0
Expected Value
+9.2%
Cover Probability
53.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-76
Home nfelo
1,428
Away nfelo
1,585
Home Field
+84.4
Base HFA
+62.1
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.3
Net QB Adjustment
-2.3
Home QB Adjustment
+17.6
Away QB Adjustment
+19.9
Market Regression
-3.7
Final Difference
-120.2
Model Spread
+4.5
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+19.9
J. McCown
Proj. Value
-2.0
Team Elo Adj
+17.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
29
Yards / Game
2
28
Passing Yards / Game
2
2
Rushing Yards / Game
12
30
EPA
EPA / Play
2
29
EPA / Pass
3
30
EPA / Rush
11
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
2
Interceptions / Game
23
20
Fumbles / Game
28
9
Turnover EPA / Game
11
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
21
4th Down Efficiency
6
27
RZ Efficiency
10
20
Browns Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
13
Yards / Game
26
7
Passing Yards / Game
12
27
Rushing Yards / Game
22
8
EPA
EPA / Play
29
11
EPA / Pass
28
8
EPA / Rush
18
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
27
Interceptions / Game
11
4
Fumbles / Game
31
8
Turnover EPA / Game
6
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
12
4th Down Efficiency
26
12
RZ Efficiency
32
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Browns
2-8
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U