nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. cardinals @ browns week 8, 2015

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

ARI logo
ARICardinals
5-2
34
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
58°F
21 mph
20
CLEBrowns
2-5
CLE logo
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
58°F
21 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
7
3
14
10
34
Browns
7
13
0
0
20

Spread

ARI logo
-7

Total

OVER
46

Game Statistics

General
Cardinals logo
Browns logo
Total Yards
491
254
Total Plays
77
61
Yards / Play
6.4
4.2
EPA / Play
+0.12
-0.15
Passing Yards
372
215
Comp/Att
23/38(61%)
21/40(53%)
Yards / Pass
9.8
5.4
EPA / Pass
+0.53
+0.03
Rushing Yards
119
39
Rush Attempts
38
20
Yards / Rush
3.1
1.9
EPA / Rush
-0.38
-0.48
Downs & Conversions
Cardinals logo
Browns logo
1st Downs
25
16
Passing 1st downs
17
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
1
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
81%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
13
9
3rd Down Attempts
16
16
Red Zone %
60%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Cardinals logo
Browns logo
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
3
1
Turnover EPA
-17.80
-9.79
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-2
-8
Sack EPA
-1.54
-2.35
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
25
35
Penalty EPA
-5.13
-5.37

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
ARI logo
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-4.5

Win Probability

Market73.2%
Model66.1%
Spread Pick
CLE logo
Browns+7.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+9.2%
Cover Probability
53.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-69
Home nfelo
1,430
Away nfelo
1,581
Home Field
+84.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-2.3
Home QB Adjustment
+17.6
Away QB Adjustment
+19.9
Market Regression
-1.4
Final Difference
-116.4
Model Spread
+4.5

Quarterbacks

C. Palmer headshot

C. Palmer

Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+19.9
Value
Ptile
10/26
3.0
71
11/02
0.6
54
11/09
-4.0
26
09/13
6.9
90
09/20
2.9
72
09/27
2.7
70
10/04
-0.7
46
10/11
1.0
56
10/18
1.7
63
10/26
2.4
67
J. McCown headshot

J. McCown

Proj. Value
-2.0
Team Elo Adj
+17.6
Value
Ptile
12/07
-7.8
8
12/14
-4.4
24
12/21
-13.2
1
12/28
-6.9
11
09/13
-3.2
27
09/27
-2.9
29
10/04
5.5
84
10/11
9.9
96
10/18
-5.6
13
10/25
1.4
61

Team Matchup Ranks

Cardinals Offense vs Browns Defense
Cardinals logo
Browns logo

Total

Points / Game
2
29
Yards / Game
2
28
Passing Yards / Game
2
2
Rushing Yards / Game
12
30

EPA

EPA / Play
2
29
EPA / Pass
3
30
EPA / Rush
11
24

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
10
2
Interceptions / Game
23
20
Fumbles / Game
28
9
Turnover EPA / Game
11
11

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
4
21
4th Down Efficiency
6
27
RZ Efficiency
10
20
Browns Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Browns logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
30
13
Yards / Game
26
7
Passing Yards / Game
12
27
Rushing Yards / Game
22
8

EPA

EPA / Play
29
11
EPA / Pass
28
8
EPA / Rush
18
4

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
5
27
Interceptions / Game
11
4
Fumbles / Game
31
8
Turnover EPA / Game
6
29

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
9
12
4th Down Efficiency
26
12
RZ Efficiency
32
15

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

ARI logo

Cardinals

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/21
-29
L
L
O
12/28
-3
L
W
U
01/03
-11
L
L
O
09/13
12
W
W
O
09/20
25
W
W
O
09/27
40
W
W
O
10/04
-2
L
L
O
10/11
25
W
W
O
10/18
-12
L
L
U
10/26
8
W
L
U
CLE logo

Browns

2-8
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/14
-30
L
L
U
12/21
-4
L
W
U
12/28
-10
L
W
U
09/13
-21
L
L
O
09/20
14
W
W
O
09/27
-7
L
L
O
10/04
-3
L
W
O
10/11
3
W
W
O
10/18
-3
L
W
O
10/25
-18
L
L
U