ARICardinals
1-7
0
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
56°F
7 mph
27
CLEBrowns
4-3
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
56°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
0
0
0
0
Browns
0
13
7
7
27
Spread
-13
Total
UNDER
38
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
58
326
Total Plays
48
71
Yards / Play
1.2
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.76
-0.08
Passing Yards
17
213
Comp/Att
11/20(55%)
19/30(63%)
Yards / Pass
0.8
7.1
EPA / Pass
-1.64
+0.05
Rushing Yards
41
113
Rush Attempts
21
40
Yards / Rush
2.0
2.8
EPA / Rush
-0.28
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
7
17
Passing 1st downs
3
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
8%
35%
3rd Down Conversions
1
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
17
Red Zone %
NaN%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
--
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-14.65
--
Sacks
7
1
Sack Yards
-41
-6
Sack EPA
-14.12
-1.59
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
40
65
Penalty EPA
-3.76
-5.09
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
-9.0
Current
-13.0
Model
-13.0
Win Probability
Market84.9%
Model84.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+306
Home nfelo
1,548
Away nfelo
1,363
Home Field
+59.0
Base HFA
+43.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+15.6
Net QB Adjustment
+62.2
Home QB Adjustment
+15.1
Away QB Adjustment
-47.1
Market Regression
+33.9
Final Difference
300.0
Model Spread
-13.0
Quarterbacks
C. Tune
Proj. Value
-3.8
Team Elo Adj
-47.1
No recent game data available
D. Watson
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+15.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
21
Yards / Game
19
1
Passing Yards / Game
24
2
Rushing Yards / Game
3
10
EPA
EPA / Play
18
1
EPA / Pass
27
1
EPA / Rush
2
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
11
Interceptions / Game
15
5
Fumbles / Game
10
18
Turnover EPA / Game
20
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
1
4th Down Efficiency
28
1
RZ Efficiency
5
32
Browns Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
31
Yards / Game
16
25
Passing Yards / Game
5
3
Rushing Yards / Game
13
32
EPA
EPA / Play
28
31
EPA / Pass
28
31
EPA / Rush
23
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
16
Interceptions / Game
32
19
Fumbles / Game
26
31
Turnover EPA / Game
1
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
32
4th Down Efficiency
16
8
RZ Efficiency
15
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
1-9
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Browns
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
4-5-1
O/U