ARICardinals
1-2
13
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
84°F
5 mph
10
TBBuccaneers
0-3
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
84°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
0
0
13
13
Buccaneers
7
3
0
0
10
Spread
+2.5
Total
UNDER
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
296
253
Total Plays
59
76
Yards / Play
5.0
3.3
EPA / Play
-0.20
-0.23
Passing Yards
240
173
Comp/Att
21/38(55%)
24/43(56%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
4.0
EPA / Pass
-0.12
-0.24
Rushing Yards
56
80
Rush Attempts
20
31
Yards / Rush
2.8
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.41
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
20
Passing 1st downs
11
13
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
10%
39%
3rd Down Conversions
1
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
18
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
3
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-14.36
-11.66
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-8
-20
Sack EPA
-1.44
-2.83
Penalties
10
8
Penalty Yards
90
73
Penalty EPA
-8.41
-6.65
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-2.5
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market56.1%
Model66.3%
Spread Pick
Buccaneers-2.5
Expected Value
+16.3%
Cover Probability
60.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+177
Home nfelo
1,506
Away nfelo
1,395
Home Field
+84.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-18.8
Home QB Adjustment
-9.4
Away QB Adjustment
+9.4
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
117.5
Model Spread
-4.5
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+9.4
M. Glennon
Proj. Value
-4.4
Team Elo Adj
-9.4
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
21
Yards / Game
14
17
Passing Yards / Game
3
12
Rushing Yards / Game
24
15
EPA
EPA / Play
21
18
EPA / Pass
19
18
EPA / Rush
26
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
6
Interceptions / Game
28
4
Fumbles / Game
13
20
Turnover EPA / Game
4
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
18
4th Down Efficiency
12
23
RZ Efficiency
24
9
Buccaneers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
6
Yards / Game
32
6
Passing Yards / Game
27
18
Rushing Yards / Game
22
1
EPA
EPA / Play
27
2
EPA / Pass
26
4
EPA / Rush
24
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
18
Interceptions / Game
9
5
Fumbles / Game
17
16
Turnover EPA / Game
26
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
11
4th Down Efficiency
24
8
RZ Efficiency
22
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
2-8
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Buccaneers
2-8
SU
4-5-1
ATS
2-8
O/U