ARICardinals
2-1
10
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
72°F
8 mph
41
LACChargers
1-2
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
72°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
1
0
3
4
Chargers
7
15
10
3
35
Spread
-10
Total
OVER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
124
419
Total Plays
51
60
Yards / Play
2.4
7.0
EPA / Play
-0.41
+0.19
Passing Yards
77
239
Comp/Att
15/28(54%)
16/21(76%)
Yards / Pass
2.8
11.4
EPA / Pass
-0.87
+0.77
Rushing Yards
47
180
Rush Attempts
14
38
Yards / Rush
3.4
4.7
EPA / Rush
-0.06
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
23
Passing 1st downs
7
12
Rushing 1st downs
3
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
33%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
10
Red Zone %
NaN%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
--
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-15.54
-8.64
Sacks
9
1
Sack Yards
-69
-10
Sack EPA
-18.25
-2.03
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
34
44
Penalty EPA
-2.30
-4.89
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-9.5
Current
-10.0
Model
-8.5
Win Probability
Market79.5%
Model77.3%
Spread Pick
Cardinals+10.0
Expected Value
+8.9%
Cover Probability
53.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+153
Home nfelo
1,500
Away nfelo
1,459
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+49.4
Home QB Adjustment
+9.4
Away QB Adjustment
-40.0
Market Regression
+2.1
Final Difference
212.9
Model Spread
-8.5
Quarterbacks
D. Anderson
Proj. Value
-3.3
Team Elo Adj
-40.0
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+9.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
9
Yards / Game
31
1
Passing Yards / Game
22
2
Rushing Yards / Game
32
4
EPA
EPA / Play
31
7
EPA / Pass
31
2
EPA / Rush
25
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
11
Interceptions / Game
21
14
Fumbles / Game
22
28
Turnover EPA / Game
5
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
4
4th Down Efficiency
24
11
RZ Efficiency
29
28
Chargers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
30
Yards / Game
1
28
Passing Yards / Game
1
27
Rushing Yards / Game
14
30
EPA
EPA / Play
6
14
EPA / Pass
1
19
EPA / Rush
20
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
2
Interceptions / Game
11
11
Fumbles / Game
28
2
Turnover EPA / Game
14
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
11
4th Down Efficiency
25
21
RZ Efficiency
12
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Chargers
7-3
SU
4-5-1
ATS
7-3
O/U