ARICardinals
3-2
38
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
010
DALCowboys
2-3
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
21
7
10
38
Cowboys
0
3
0
7
10
Spread
+1
Total
UNDER
55.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
438
344
Total Plays
60
84
Yards / Play
7.3
4.1
EPA / Play
+0.30
-0.21
Passing Yards
177
247
Comp/Att
9/24(38%)
34/54(63%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
4.6
EPA / Pass
+0.06
-0.16
Rushing Yards
261
97
Rush Attempts
35
27
Yards / Rush
7.5
3.6
EPA / Rush
+0.51
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
27
Passing 1st downs
7
15
Rushing 1st downs
13
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
54%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
75%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-18.00
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-11
-19
Sack EPA
-2.96
-4.30
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
43
36
Penalty EPA
-6.52
-6.97
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
+2.5
Current
-1.0
Model
+2.5
Win Probability
Market52.2%
Model42.5%
Spread Pick
Cardinals+1.0
Expected Value
+6.8%
Cover Probability
55.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-108
Home nfelo
1,520
Away nfelo
1,491
Home Field
+7.3
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
-1.1
Net QB Adjustment
-144.3
Home QB Adjustment
-113.5
Away QB Adjustment
+30.7
Market Regression
-6.7
Final Difference
-52.8
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+1.7
Team Elo Adj
+30.7
A. Dalton
Proj. Value
-1.9
Team Elo Adj
-113.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
28
Yards / Game
6
23
Passing Yards / Game
10
16
Rushing Yards / Game
6
31
EPA
EPA / Play
15
21
EPA / Pass
22
18
EPA / Rush
3
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
7
Interceptions / Game
17
23
Fumbles / Game
23
2
Turnover EPA / Game
8
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
27
4th Down Efficiency
5
11
RZ Efficiency
9
20
Cowboys Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
12
Yards / Game
13
13
Passing Yards / Game
4
11
Rushing Yards / Game
17
21
EPA
EPA / Play
24
9
EPA / Pass
25
10
EPA / Rush
18
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
22
Interceptions / Game
17
20
Fumbles / Game
31
18
Turnover EPA / Game
4
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
10
4th Down Efficiency
22
26
RZ Efficiency
29
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
2-8
O/U
Cowboys
4-6
SU
2-8
ATS
7-3
O/U