ARICardinals
2-6
21
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
60°F
15 mph
17
PHIEagles
3-5
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
60°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
7
0
14
21
Eagles
0
8
0
3
11
Spread
+13
Total
UNDER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
370
289
Total Plays
73
60
Yards / Play
5.1
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.07
-0.18
Passing Yards
282
123
Comp/Att
21/40(53%)
16/34(47%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
3.6
EPA / Pass
+0.07
-0.52
Rushing Yards
88
166
Rush Attempts
29
24
Yards / Rush
3.0
6.9
EPA / Rush
-0.08
+0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
15
Passing 1st downs
15
4
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
38%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
15
Red Zone %
75%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-9.89
-3.84
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-33
-5
Sack EPA
-6.51
-1.82
Penalties
7
11
Penalty Yards
66
97
Penalty EPA
-4.91
-12.37
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-15.0
Current
-13.0
Model
-13.0
Win Probability
Market84.9%
Model84.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+310
Home nfelo
1,595
Away nfelo
1,420
Home Field
+84.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+49.7
Home QB Adjustment
+12.9
Away QB Adjustment
-36.8
Market Regression
-52.8
Final Difference
300.0
Model Spread
-13.0
Quarterbacks
J. Skelton
Proj. Value
-4.6
Team Elo Adj
-36.8
M. Vick
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+12.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
9
Yards / Game
19
8
Passing Yards / Game
9
15
Rushing Yards / Game
24
16
EPA
EPA / Play
28
12
EPA / Pass
26
10
EPA / Rush
9
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
21
Interceptions / Game
27
18
Fumbles / Game
12
4
Turnover EPA / Game
4
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
12
4th Down Efficiency
4
14
RZ Efficiency
14
27
Eagles Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
16
Yards / Game
5
18
Passing Yards / Game
10
23
Rushing Yards / Game
5
21
EPA
EPA / Play
8
7
EPA / Pass
15
8
EPA / Rush
3
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
2
Interceptions / Game
31
26
Fumbles / Game
21
12
Turnover EPA / Game
3
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
1
4th Down Efficiency
10
23
RZ Efficiency
16
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Eagles
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
4-5-1
O/U