ARICardinals
3-2
24
TBD
Giants Stadium
57°F
3 mph
17
NYGGiants
5-1
TBD
Giants Stadium
57°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
10
14
0
24
Giants
0
14
0
3
17
Spread
+8
Total
UNDER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
288
327
Total Plays
60
66
Yards / Play
4.8
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.09
-0.22
Passing Yards
216
220
Comp/Att
20/36(56%)
19/37(51%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
5.9
EPA / Pass
-0.07
-0.23
Rushing Yards
72
107
Rush Attempts
22
26
Yards / Rush
3.3
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
15
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
21%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
75%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-8.35
-12.33
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-15
-23
Sack EPA
-4.23
-5.40
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
60
30
Penalty EPA
-8.88
-4.92
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-8.0
Model
-8.0
Win Probability
Market75.7%
Model75.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+157
Home nfelo
1,638
Away nfelo
1,548
Home Field
+61.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+5.2
Home QB Adjustment
+15.5
Away QB Adjustment
+10.2
Market Regression
+12.1
Final Difference
197.4
Model Spread
-8.0
Quarterbacks
K. Warner
Proj. Value
+2.9
Team Elo Adj
+10.2
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+15.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
30
Yards / Game
12
13
Passing Yards / Game
8
13
Rushing Yards / Game
27
13
EPA
EPA / Play
17
30
EPA / Pass
13
23
EPA / Rush
19
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
20
Interceptions / Game
17
22
Fumbles / Game
31
12
Turnover EPA / Game
5
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
16
4th Down Efficiency
13
27
RZ Efficiency
1
32
Giants Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
20
Yards / Game
9
24
Passing Yards / Game
6
20
Rushing Yards / Game
17
16
EPA
EPA / Play
8
15
EPA / Pass
8
15
EPA / Rush
16
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
28
Interceptions / Game
10
8
Fumbles / Game
30
26
Turnover EPA / Game
12
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
11
4th Down Efficiency
9
19
RZ Efficiency
20
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
1-4-5
O/U
Giants
6-4
SU
6-3-1
ATS
4-1-5
O/U