ARICardinals
2-3
27
TBD
MetLife Stadium
56°F
3 mph
21
NYGGiants
2-4
TBD
MetLife Stadium
56°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
14
3
7
3
27
Giants
0
8
0
7
15
Spread
+3.5
Total
UNDER
49.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
245
263
Total Plays
61
65
Yards / Play
4.0
4.0
EPA / Play
-0.11
-0.25
Passing Yards
89
156
Comp/Att
14/21(67%)
22/35(63%)
Yards / Pass
4.2
4.5
EPA / Pass
+0.21
-0.42
Rushing Yards
156
107
Rush Attempts
38
22
Yards / Rush
4.1
4.9
EPA / Rush
-0.12
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
21
Passing 1st downs
8
14
Rushing 1st downs
8
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
47%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-13.57
Sacks
2
8
Sack Yards
-15
-67
Sack EPA
-2.07
-16.99
Penalties
10
6
Penalty Yards
85
75
Penalty EPA
-8.86
-6.69
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model62.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+51
Home nfelo
1,376
Away nfelo
1,363
Home Field
+90.2
Base HFA
+52.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+18.4
Time Adj
+18.9
Net QB Adjustment
-51.2
Home QB Adjustment
-25.0
Away QB Adjustment
+26.1
Market Regression
+23.4
Final Difference
88.7
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+26.1
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-25.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
30
Yards / Game
22
26
Passing Yards / Game
22
17
Rushing Yards / Game
10
20
EPA
EPA / Play
17
24
EPA / Pass
19
28
EPA / Rush
5
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
13
Interceptions / Game
16
25
Fumbles / Game
4
28
Turnover EPA / Game
25
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
20
4th Down Efficiency
2
24
RZ Efficiency
30
17
Giants Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
28
Yards / Game
23
32
Passing Yards / Game
16
32
Rushing Yards / Game
19
23
EPA
EPA / Play
26
28
EPA / Pass
27
30
EPA / Rush
11
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
6
Interceptions / Game
25
30
Fumbles / Game
32
14
Turnover EPA / Game
2
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
30
4th Down Efficiency
18
1
RZ Efficiency
17
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
2-7-1
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Giants
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U