ARICardinals
6-6
26
TBD
MetLife Stadium
59°F
15 mph
7
NYGGiants
5-7
TBD
MetLife Stadium
59°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
3
10
7
6
26
Giants
0
0
7
0
7
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
390
159
Total Plays
79
49
Yards / Play
4.9
3.2
EPA / Play
-0.01
-0.58
Passing Yards
231
81
Comp/Att
24/35(69%)
13/24(54%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
3.4
EPA / Pass
+0.14
-0.72
Rushing Yards
159
78
Rush Attempts
43
17
Yards / Rush
3.7
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.08
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
10
Passing 1st downs
12
7
Rushing 1st downs
10
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
39%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
18
12
Red Zone %
29%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
7
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
3
Turnover EPA
--
-16.87
Sacks
1
8
Sack Yards
-13
-64
Sack EPA
-2.09
-19.69
Penalties
4
2
Penalty Yards
22
--
Penalty EPA
-3.25
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-62
Home nfelo
1,422
Away nfelo
1,473
Home Field
+10.7
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
+2.3
Net QB Adjustment
-21.0
Home QB Adjustment
+6.2
Away QB Adjustment
+27.2
Market Regression
-22.1
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+1.5
Team Elo Adj
+27.2
D. Jones
Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+6.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
9
Yards / Game
6
12
Passing Yards / Game
10
26
Rushing Yards / Game
6
11
EPA
EPA / Play
15
15
EPA / Pass
22
17
EPA / Rush
3
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
2
Interceptions / Game
17
20
Fumbles / Game
23
13
Turnover EPA / Game
8
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
24
4th Down Efficiency
5
22
RZ Efficiency
9
3
Giants Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
12
Yards / Game
31
13
Passing Yards / Game
26
11
Rushing Yards / Game
19
21
EPA
EPA / Play
28
9
EPA / Pass
27
10
EPA / Rush
19
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
22
Interceptions / Game
11
20
Fumbles / Game
30
18
Turnover EPA / Game
12
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
10
4th Down Efficiency
8
26
RZ Efficiency
31
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Giants
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
3-6-1
O/U