ARICardinals
4-4
17
TBD
Lambeau Field
39°F
7 mph
31
GBPackers
5-3
TBD
Lambeau Field
39°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
7
10
0
17
Packers
7
14
10
0
31
Spread
-10.5
Total
OVER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
340
384
Total Plays
66
70
Yards / Play
5.2
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.11
+0.08
Passing Yards
286
208
Comp/Att
23/46(50%)
14/30(47%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
6.9
EPA / Pass
-0.03
+0.19
Rushing Yards
54
176
Rush Attempts
18
39
Yards / Rush
3.0
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.21
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
20
Passing 1st downs
13
11
Rushing 1st downs
3
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
27%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
15
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.91
+1.12
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-20
-10
Sack EPA
-2.76
-1.43
Penalties
8
1
Penalty Yards
57
--
Penalty EPA
-5.21
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
GBPackersFavored
Opening
-10.5
Current
-10.5
Model
-13.0
Win Probability
Market80.6%
Model84.6%
Spread Pick
Packers-10.5
Expected Value
+6.4%
Cover Probability
55.7%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+339
Home nfelo
1,644
Away nfelo
1,404
Home Field
+73.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+25.2
Home QB Adjustment
+6.9
Away QB Adjustment
-18.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
295.6
Model Spread
-13.0
Quarterbacks
J. Skelton
Proj. Value
-4.6
Team Elo Adj
-18.3
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+6.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
13
Yards / Game
32
16
Passing Yards / Game
18
22
Rushing Yards / Game
32
25
EPA
EPA / Play
32
19
EPA / Pass
32
8
EPA / Rush
32
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
4
Interceptions / Game
32
10
Fumbles / Game
25
29
Turnover EPA / Game
6
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
19
4th Down Efficiency
22
4
RZ Efficiency
31
28
Packers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
17
Yards / Game
15
11
Passing Yards / Game
8
15
Rushing Yards / Game
22
28
EPA
EPA / Play
6
2
EPA / Pass
5
2
EPA / Rush
20
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
1
Interceptions / Game
1
2
Fumbles / Game
9
12
Turnover EPA / Game
32
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
3
4th Down Efficiency
9
13
RZ Efficiency
2
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
2-8
O/U
Packers
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U