ARICardinals
1-2
26
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
70°F
016
CARPanthers
1-2
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
3
7
16
26
Panthers
0
4
0
6
10
Spread
+1
Total
UNDER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
338
220
Total Plays
71
52
Yards / Play
4.8
4.2
EPA / Play
-0.09
-0.41
Passing Yards
206
180
Comp/Att
23/33(70%)
22/37(59%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
4.9
EPA / Pass
-0.05
-0.36
Rushing Yards
132
40
Rush Attempts
37
13
Yards / Rush
3.6
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.86
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
11
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
8
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
40%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
6
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
10
Red Zone %
40%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-7.20
-14.81
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-1
-17
Sack EPA
-0.60
-3.82
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
46
76
Penalty EPA
-6.74
-3.40
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-1.0
Model
+1.0
Win Probability
Market52.2%
Model47.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-41
Home nfelo
1,407
Away nfelo
1,462
Home Field
+24.7
Base HFA
+38.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-13.8
Net QB Adjustment
-11.1
Home QB Adjustment
-9.2
Away QB Adjustment
+1.9
Market Regression
+1.3
Final Difference
-14.6
Model Spread
+1.0
Quarterbacks
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+1.9
B. Mayfield
Proj. Value
+3.0
Team Elo Adj
-9.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
17
Yards / Game
22
22
Passing Yards / Game
7
30
Rushing Yards / Game
22
18
EPA
EPA / Play
30
15
EPA / Pass
28
23
EPA / Rush
15
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
24
Interceptions / Game
28
24
Fumbles / Game
7
20
Turnover EPA / Game
9
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
23
4th Down Efficiency
24
9
RZ Efficiency
11
18
Panthers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
31
Yards / Game
29
21
Passing Yards / Game
30
4
Rushing Yards / Game
10
14
EPA
EPA / Play
20
21
EPA / Pass
24
22
EPA / Rush
9
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
10
Interceptions / Game
15
22
Fumbles / Game
7
10
Turnover EPA / Game
19
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
27
4th Down Efficiency
7
15
RZ Efficiency
12
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U
Panthers
1-9
SU
1-9
ATS
6-4
O/U