ARICardinals
4-9
12
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
42°F
6 mph
19
CARPanthers
1-12
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
42°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
3
0
9
12
Panthers
6
7
6
0
19
Spread
-2.5
Total
UNDER
37.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
218
303
Total Plays
54
66
Yards / Play
4.0
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.19
-0.06
Passing Yards
175
126
Comp/Att
17/33(52%)
13/19(68%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
6.6
EPA / Pass
-0.31
-0.02
Rushing Yards
43
177
Rush Attempts
18
45
Yards / Rush
2.4
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.12
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
16
Passing 1st downs
7
6
Rushing 1st downs
3
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
27%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
15
Red Zone %
33%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-8.10
-4.14
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-21
-15
Sack EPA
-6.56
-3.57
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
39
58
Penalty EPA
-7.28
-5.81
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-2.5
Model
-0.5
Win Probability
Market56.1%
Model51.5%
Spread Pick
Cardinals+2.5
Expected Value
+2.6%
Cover Probability
53.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-18
Home nfelo
1,276
Away nfelo
1,357
Home Field
+84.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-21.5
Home QB Adjustment
-9.0
Away QB Adjustment
+12.5
Market Regression
+2.2
Final Difference
10.7
Model Spread
-0.5
Quarterbacks
J. Skelton
Proj. Value
-4.6
Team Elo Adj
+12.5
Value
Ptile
J. Clausen
Proj. Value
-3.0
Team Elo Adj
-9.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
25
Yards / Game
31
17
Passing Yards / Game
22
21
Rushing Yards / Game
32
23
EPA
EPA / Play
31
17
EPA / Pass
31
12
EPA / Rush
25
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
2
Interceptions / Game
21
11
Fumbles / Game
22
10
Turnover EPA / Game
5
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
14
4th Down Efficiency
24
12
RZ Efficiency
29
10
Panthers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
30
Yards / Game
32
28
Passing Yards / Game
30
27
Rushing Yards / Game
12
30
EPA
EPA / Play
32
14
EPA / Pass
32
19
EPA / Rush
32
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
2
Interceptions / Game
27
11
Fumbles / Game
30
2
Turnover EPA / Game
4
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
11
4th Down Efficiency
18
21
RZ Efficiency
32
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U
Panthers
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
5-4-1
O/U