nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. cardinals @ panthers week 15, 2010

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

ARI logo
ARICardinals
4-9
12
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
42°F
6 mph
19
CARPanthers
1-12
CAR logo
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
42°F
6 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
3
0
9
12
Panthers
6
7
6
0
19

Spread

CAR logo
-2.5

Total

UNDER
37.5

Game Statistics

General
Cardinals logo
Panthers logo
Total Yards
218
303
Total Plays
54
66
Yards / Play
4.0
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.19
-0.06
Passing Yards
175
126
Comp/Att
17/33(52%)
13/19(68%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
6.6
EPA / Pass
-0.31
-0.02
Rushing Yards
43
177
Rush Attempts
18
45
Yards / Rush
2.4
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.12
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
Cardinals logo
Panthers logo
1st Downs
11
16
Passing 1st downs
7
6
Rushing 1st downs
3
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
27%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
15
Red Zone %
33%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Cardinals logo
Panthers logo
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-8.10
-4.14
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-21
-15
Sack EPA
-6.56
-3.57
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
39
58
Penalty EPA
-7.28
-5.81

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
CAR logo
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-2.5
Model
-1.0

Win Probability

Market56.1%
Model51.8%
Spread Pick
ARI logo
Cardinals+2.5
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+2.1%
Cover Probability
53.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-15
Home nfelo
1,278
Away nfelo
1,356
Home Field
+84.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-21.5
Home QB Adjustment
-9.0
Away QB Adjustment
+12.5
Market Regression
+3.3
Final Difference
12.5
Model Spread
-1.0

Quarterbacks

J. Skelton headshot

J. Skelton

Proj. Value
-4.6
Team Elo Adj
+12.5
Value
Ptile
12/12
-5.3
16
J. Clausen headshot

J. Clausen

Proj. Value
-3.0
Team Elo Adj
-9.0
Value
Ptile
09/26
-4.2
22
10/03
-3.1
29
10/10
-13.5
1
11/14
-2.3
33
11/28
-5.6
15
12/05
-7.7
7
12/12
-10.6
2

Team Matchup Ranks

Cardinals Offense vs Panthers Defense
Cardinals logo
Panthers logo

Total

Points / Game
26
25
Yards / Game
31
17
Passing Yards / Game
22
21
Rushing Yards / Game
32
23

EPA

EPA / Play
31
17
EPA / Pass
31
12
EPA / Rush
25
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
2
Interceptions / Game
21
11
Fumbles / Game
22
10
Turnover EPA / Game
5
19

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
32
14
4th Down Efficiency
24
12
RZ Efficiency
29
10
Panthers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Panthers logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
32
30
Yards / Game
32
28
Passing Yards / Game
30
27
Rushing Yards / Game
12
30

EPA

EPA / Play
32
14
EPA / Pass
32
19
EPA / Rush
32
10

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
10
2
Interceptions / Game
27
11
Fumbles / Game
30
2
Turnover EPA / Game
4
26

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
30
11
4th Down Efficiency
18
21
RZ Efficiency
32
1

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

ARI logo

Cardinals

2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/03
-31
L
L
O
10/10
10
W
W
O
10/24
-12
L
L
U
10/31
-3
L
L
O
11/07
-3
L
W
O
11/14
-18
L
L
O
11/21
-18
L
L
U
11/29
-21
L
L
U
12/05
-13
L
L
U
12/12
30
W
W
O
CAR logo

Panthers

1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/03
-2
L
W
U
10/10
-17
L
L
U
10/24
3
W
W
O
10/31
-10
L
L
U
11/07
-31
L
L
U
11/14
-15
L
L
O
11/21
-24
L
L
O
11/28
-1
L
W
O
12/05
-17
L
L
O
12/12
-21
L
L
P