ARICardinals
7-7
30
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
37°F
10 mph
36
CARPanthers
3-11
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
37°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Cardinals
0
17
3
10
0
30
Panthers
7
13
3
7
6
36
Spread
+5.5
Total
OVER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
382
392
Total Plays
64
65
Yards / Play
6.0
6.0
EPA / Play
+0.17
+0.24
Passing Yards
176
149
Comp/Att
20/32(63%)
17/26(65%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
5.7
EPA / Pass
+0.04
+0.04
Rushing Yards
206
243
Rush Attempts
29
36
Yards / Rush
7.1
6.8
EPA / Rush
+0.31
+0.41
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
22
Passing 1st downs
11
9
Rushing 1st downs
9
11
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
46%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
75%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-6.01
--
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-26
-9
Sack EPA
-4.07
-3.91
Penalties
11
9
Penalty Yards
82
64
Penalty EPA
-9.64
-7.34
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-5.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market68.5%
Model68.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-113
Home nfelo
1,345
Away nfelo
1,494
Home Field
+53.8
Base HFA
+39.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+14.2
Net QB Adjustment
-18.1
Home QB Adjustment
-1.4
Away QB Adjustment
+16.7
Market Regression
-25.9
Final Difference
-135.0
Model Spread
+5.5
Quarterbacks
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+16.7
B. Young
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-1.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
32
Yards / Game
11
32
Passing Yards / Game
28
21
Rushing Yards / Game
7
32
EPA
EPA / Play
8
32
EPA / Pass
11
31
EPA / Rush
5
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
21
Interceptions / Game
11
25
Fumbles / Game
22
19
Turnover EPA / Game
20
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
32
4th Down Efficiency
27
20
RZ Efficiency
17
29
Panthers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
16
Yards / Game
29
20
Passing Yards / Game
30
8
Rushing Yards / Game
16
20
EPA
EPA / Play
24
25
EPA / Pass
28
24
EPA / Rush
9
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
28
Interceptions / Game
22
25
Fumbles / Game
13
19
Turnover EPA / Game
13
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
28
4th Down Efficiency
26
17
RZ Efficiency
7
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Panthers
2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U