ARICardinals
8-6
7
TBD
Gillette Stadium
30°F
10 mph
47
NEPatriots
9-5
TBD
Gillette Stadium
30°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
0
0
7
7
Patriots
14
17
13
3
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
186
514
Total Plays
50
81
Yards / Play
3.7
6.3
EPA / Play
-0.42
+0.24
Passing Yards
142
331
Comp/Att
12/32(38%)
21/38(55%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
8.7
EPA / Pass
-0.45
+0.41
Rushing Yards
44
183
Rush Attempts
15
42
Yards / Rush
2.9
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.26
+0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
8
27
Passing 1st downs
6
13
Rushing 1st downs
2
13
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
23%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
NaN%
57%
Red Zone Conversions
--
4
Red Zone Attempts
--
7
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-7.92
--
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-26
-12
Sack EPA
-7.03
-1.81
Penalties
3
7
Penalty Yards
20
65
Penalty EPA
-2.19
-0.35
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
8
Yards / Game
4
10
Passing Yards / Game
1
12
Rushing Yards / Game
32
16
EPA
EPA / Play
10
20
EPA / Pass
5
27
EPA / Rush
30
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
5
Interceptions / Game
16
15
Fumbles / Game
24
22
Turnover EPA / Game
11
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
27
4th Down Efficiency
14
2
RZ Efficiency
8
32
Patriots Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
28
Yards / Game
5
16
Passing Yards / Game
4
31
Rushing Yards / Game
5
10
EPA
EPA / Play
2
19
EPA / Pass
9
23
EPA / Rush
1
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
22
Interceptions / Game
4
9
Fumbles / Game
12
1
Turnover EPA / Game
24
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
25
4th Down Efficiency
2
29
RZ Efficiency
18
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U