ARICardinals
-
17
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
013
LARRams
-
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
10
0
7
17
Rams
0
10
3
0
13
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
39.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
378
325
Total Plays
64
81
Yards / Play
5.9
4.0
EPA / Play
-0.15
-0.20
Passing Yards
266
240
Comp/Att
22/41(54%)
32/55(58%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
4.4
EPA / Pass
+0.07
-0.25
Rushing Yards
112
85
Rush Attempts
21
24
Yards / Rush
5.3
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.51
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
20
Passing 1st downs
13
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
38%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
5
8
3rd Down Attempts
13
20
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
4
0
Turnover EPA
-17.15
-11.72
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-31
-13
Sack EPA
-2.76
-3.38
Penalties
10
5
Penalty Yards
72
40
Penalty EPA
-8.56
-7.84
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-68
Home nfelo
1,326
Away nfelo
1,511
Home Field
+44.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+72.0
Home QB Adjustment
+22.7
Away QB Adjustment
-49.3
Market Regression
+23.4
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
D. Anderson
Proj. Value
-3.3
Team Elo Adj
-49.3
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
+22.7
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
11
Yards / Game
31
18
Passing Yards / Game
22
18
Rushing Yards / Game
32
17
EPA
EPA / Play
31
5
EPA / Pass
31
7
EPA / Rush
25
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
18
Interceptions / Game
21
19
Fumbles / Game
22
10
Turnover EPA / Game
5
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
3
4th Down Efficiency
24
19
RZ Efficiency
29
12
Rams Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
30
Yards / Game
27
28
Passing Yards / Game
16
27
Rushing Yards / Game
25
30
EPA
EPA / Play
30
14
EPA / Pass
26
19
EPA / Rush
29
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
2
Interceptions / Game
13
11
Fumbles / Game
1
2
Turnover EPA / Game
19
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
11
4th Down Efficiency
11
21
RZ Efficiency
31
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Rams
1-9
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U