nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. cardinals @ rams week 1, 2010

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

ARI logo
ARICardinals
-
17
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0
13
LARRams
-
LAR logo
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
10
0
7
17
Rams
0
10
3
0
13

Spread

ARI logo
-3

Total

UNDER
39.5

Game Statistics

General
Cardinals logo
Rams logo
Total Yards
378
325
Total Plays
64
81
Yards / Play
5.9
4.0
EPA / Play
-0.15
-0.20
Passing Yards
266
240
Comp/Att
22/41(54%)
32/55(58%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
4.4
EPA / Pass
+0.07
-0.25
Rushing Yards
112
85
Rush Attempts
21
24
Yards / Rush
5.3
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.51
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
Cardinals logo
Rams logo
1st Downs
21
20
Passing 1st downs
13
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
38%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
5
8
3rd Down Attempts
13
20
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Cardinals logo
Rams logo
Turnovers
4
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
4
0
Turnover EPA
-17.15
-11.72
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-31
-13
Sack EPA
-2.76
-3.38
Penalties
10
5
Penalty Yards
72
40
Penalty EPA
-8.56
-7.84

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
ARI logo
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0

Win Probability

Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-63
Home nfelo
1,331
Away nfelo
1,511
Home Field
+44.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+72.0
Home QB Adjustment
+22.7
Away QB Adjustment
-49.3
Market Regression
+23.4
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0

Quarterbacks

D. Anderson headshot

D. Anderson

Proj. Value
-3.3
Team Elo Adj
-49.3
Value
Ptile
10/26
0.6
56
11/02
0.8
58
11/30
-4.8
17
10/04
0.1
51
10/11
-11.1
2
10/18
-6.3
13
10/25
-8.2
7
11/01
-8.3
7
12/27
-3.7
26
01/03
-6.0
14
S. Bradford headshot

S. Bradford

Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
+22.7
No recent game data available

Team Matchup Ranks

Cardinals Offense vs Rams Defense
Cardinals logo
Rams logo

Total

Points / Game
26
11
Yards / Game
31
18
Passing Yards / Game
22
18
Rushing Yards / Game
32
17

EPA

EPA / Play
31
5
EPA / Pass
31
7
EPA / Rush
25
12

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
18
Interceptions / Game
21
19
Fumbles / Game
22
10
Turnover EPA / Game
5
15

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
32
3
4th Down Efficiency
24
19
RZ Efficiency
29
12
Rams Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Rams logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
26
30
Yards / Game
27
28
Passing Yards / Game
16
27
Rushing Yards / Game
25
30

EPA

EPA / Play
30
14
EPA / Pass
26
19
EPA / Rush
29
10

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
26
2
Interceptions / Game
13
11
Fumbles / Game
1
2
Turnover EPA / Game
19
26

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
11
4th Down Efficiency
11
21
RZ Efficiency
31
1

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

ARI logo

Cardinals

6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/15
11
W
W
O
11/22
8
W
L
U
11/29
-3
L
W
U
12/06
13
W
W
U
12/14
-15
L
L
U
12/20
7
W
L
O
12/27
21
W
W
U
01/03
-26
L
L
U
01/10
6
W
W
O
01/16
-31
L
L
O
LAR logo

Rams

1-9
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/25
-36
L
L
O
11/01
7
W
W
U
11/15
-5
L
W
O
11/22
-8
L
W
U
11/29
-10
L
L
O
12/06
-8
L
W
U
12/13
-40
L
L
O
12/20
-3
L
W
U
12/27
-21
L
L
U
01/03
-22
L
L
U