ARICardinals
-
24
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
027
LARRams
-
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
10
8
0
18
Rams
0
10
3
14
27
Spread
+4
Total
OVER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
390
368
Total Plays
70
63
Yards / Play
5.6
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.00
+0.02
Passing Yards
304
--
Comp/Att
26/40(65%)
27/38(71%)
Yards / Pass
7.6
--
EPA / Pass
+0.18
+0.08
Rushing Yards
86
69
Rush Attempts
26
25
Yards / Rush
3.3
2.8
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
20
Passing 1st downs
19
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
50%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-9.31
-9.57
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-23
--
Sack EPA
-8.05
--
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
68
59
Penalty EPA
-5.16
-7.27
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-4.0
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market64.7%
Model64.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+48
Home nfelo
1,432
Away nfelo
1,406
Home Field
+44.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-23.8
Home QB Adjustment
+2.8
Away QB Adjustment
+26.5
Market Regression
+3.2
Final Difference
105.3
Model Spread
-4.0
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+26.5
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
+2.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
12
Yards / Game
14
15
Passing Yards / Game
3
28
Rushing Yards / Game
24
9
EPA
EPA / Play
21
9
EPA / Pass
19
17
EPA / Rush
26
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
24
Interceptions / Game
28
19
Fumbles / Game
13
1
Turnover EPA / Game
4
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
16
4th Down Efficiency
12
22
RZ Efficiency
24
10
Rams Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
6
Yards / Game
30
6
Passing Yards / Game
31
18
Rushing Yards / Game
19
1
EPA
EPA / Play
22
2
EPA / Pass
23
4
EPA / Rush
27
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
18
Interceptions / Game
8
5
Fumbles / Game
22
16
Turnover EPA / Game
17
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
11
4th Down Efficiency
27
8
RZ Efficiency
26
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
1-9
SU
4-5-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Rams
4-5-1
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U