ARICardinals
4-0
3
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
017
LARRams
2-2
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
3
0
0
0
3
Rams
7
3
0
7
17
Spread
+1.5
Total
UNDER
37.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
282
242
Total Plays
76
54
Yards / Play
3.7
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.26
-0.12
Passing Yards
237
131
Comp/Att
28/50(56%)
7/21(33%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
6.2
EPA / Pass
-0.25
-0.17
Rushing Yards
45
111
Rush Attempts
17
32
Yards / Rush
2.6
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.20
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
12
Passing 1st downs
13
6
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
37%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
19
14
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.42
-4.37
Sacks
9
1
Sack Yards
-52
-10
Sack EPA
-15.57
-2.00
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
35
60
Penalty EPA
-3.56
-5.96
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-1.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market53.6%
Model55.6%
Spread Pick
Cardinals-1.5
Expected Value
+4.1%
Cover Probability
54.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-93
Home nfelo
1,344
Away nfelo
1,448
Home Field
+44.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-34.5
Home QB Adjustment
-9.3
Away QB Adjustment
+25.2
Market Regression
+6.5
Final Difference
-39.0
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
K. Kolb
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+25.2
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-9.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
14
Yards / Game
32
13
Passing Yards / Game
18
18
Rushing Yards / Game
32
15
EPA
EPA / Play
32
13
EPA / Pass
32
9
EPA / Rush
32
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
20
Interceptions / Game
32
11
Fumbles / Game
25
32
Turnover EPA / Game
6
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
13
4th Down Efficiency
22
6
RZ Efficiency
31
9
Rams Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
17
Yards / Game
22
11
Passing Yards / Game
16
15
Rushing Yards / Game
20
28
EPA
EPA / Play
25
2
EPA / Pass
18
2
EPA / Rush
22
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
1
Interceptions / Game
12
2
Fumbles / Game
9
12
Turnover EPA / Game
16
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
3
4th Down Efficiency
15
13
RZ Efficiency
19
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
9-1
SU
7-3
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Rams
2-8
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U