ARICardinals
3-7
23
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
020
LARRams
2-8
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
3
0
11
3
17
Rams
1
3
0
10
14
Spread
+2.5
Total
OVER
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
374
272
Total Plays
64
56
Yards / Play
5.8
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.29
-0.46
Passing Yards
106
186
Comp/Att
12/23(52%)
17/32(53%)
Yards / Pass
4.6
5.8
EPA / Pass
-0.70
-0.35
Rushing Yards
268
86
Rush Attempts
38
22
Yards / Rush
7.1
3.9
EPA / Rush
+0.10
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
12
Passing 1st downs
4
8
Rushing 1st downs
11
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
33%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
25%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-14.89
-9.91
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-8
-17
Sack EPA
-3.34
-7.86
Penalties
4
8
Penalty Yards
30
49
Penalty EPA
-3.69
-6.83
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market56.1%
Model56.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+51
Home nfelo
1,380
Away nfelo
1,419
Home Field
+67.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+22.6
Home QB Adjustment
-18.1
Away QB Adjustment
-40.7
Market Regression
-22.8
Final Difference
42.6
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
J. Skelton
Proj. Value
-4.6
Team Elo Adj
-40.7
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-18.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
25
Yards / Game
19
21
Passing Yards / Game
9
14
Rushing Yards / Game
24
31
EPA
EPA / Play
28
16
EPA / Pass
26
20
EPA / Rush
9
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
1
Interceptions / Game
27
23
Fumbles / Game
12
29
Turnover EPA / Game
4
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
18
4th Down Efficiency
4
29
RZ Efficiency
14
13
Rams Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
16
Yards / Game
31
18
Passing Yards / Game
21
23
Rushing Yards / Game
23
21
EPA
EPA / Play
32
7
EPA / Pass
31
8
EPA / Rush
32
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
2
Interceptions / Game
3
26
Fumbles / Game
27
12
Turnover EPA / Game
13
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
1
4th Down Efficiency
24
23
RZ Efficiency
31
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Rams
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
3-6-1
O/U