ARICardinals
8-7
7
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
018
LARRams
9-6
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
7
0
0
0
7
Rams
0
4
3
3
10
Spread
-1
Total
UNDER
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
214
333
Total Plays
49
70
Yards / Play
4.4
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.49
-0.18
Passing Yards
166
223
Comp/Att
19/27(70%)
22/38(58%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
5.9
EPA / Pass
-0.39
-0.09
Rushing Yards
48
110
Rush Attempts
18
30
Yards / Rush
2.7
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.26
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
21
Passing 1st downs
10
12
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
22%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
2
6
3rd Down Attempts
9
15
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-10.05
-11.85
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-26
-8
Sack EPA
-5.35
-1.76
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
28
38
Penalty EPA
-6.10
-4.61
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
+3.0
Current
-1.0
Model
+2.0
Win Probability
Market52.2%
Model45.7%
Spread Pick
Cardinals+1.0
Expected Value
+1.7%
Cover Probability
52.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-67
Home nfelo
1,589
Away nfelo
1,491
Home Field
+5.6
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
-2.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-170.7
Home QB Adjustment
-142.2
Away QB Adjustment
+28.5
Market Regression
+38.2
Final Difference
-30.1
Model Spread
+2.0
Quarterbacks
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+28.5
J. Wolford
Proj. Value
-5.4
Team Elo Adj
-142.2
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
2
Yards / Game
6
1
Passing Yards / Game
10
3
Rushing Yards / Game
6
4
EPA
EPA / Play
15
1
EPA / Pass
22
1
EPA / Rush
3
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
23
Interceptions / Game
17
13
Fumbles / Game
23
16
Turnover EPA / Game
8
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
4
4th Down Efficiency
5
7
RZ Efficiency
9
12
Rams Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
12
Yards / Game
17
13
Passing Yards / Game
16
11
Rushing Yards / Game
11
21
EPA
EPA / Play
26
9
EPA / Pass
20
10
EPA / Rush
24
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
22
Interceptions / Game
16
20
Fumbles / Game
19
18
Turnover EPA / Game
9
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
10
4th Down Efficiency
28
26
RZ Efficiency
18
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Rams
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
2-8
O/U