ARICardinals
1-1
10
TBD
Lumen Field
68°F
20 mph
13
SEASeahawks
0-2
TBD
Lumen Field
68°F
20 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
10
0
0
10
Seahawks
3
3
7
0
13
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
324
261
Total Plays
70
65
Yards / Play
4.6
4.0
EPA / Play
-0.09
-0.08
Passing Yards
234
139
Comp/Att
25/39(64%)
18/31(58%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
4.5
EPA / Pass
-0.05
-0.06
Rushing Yards
90
122
Rush Attempts
28
30
Yards / Rush
3.2
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.12
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
16
Passing 1st downs
13
8
Rushing 1st downs
5
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
21%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.42
-0.15
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-18
-32
Sack EPA
-3.67
-6.00
Penalties
2
8
Penalty Yards
20
39
Penalty EPA
-1.33
-6.81
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model54.3%
Spread Pick
Seahawks+3.0
Expected Value
+6.4%
Cover Probability
51.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+5
Home nfelo
1,394
Away nfelo
1,416
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-29.0
Home QB Adjustment
-10.6
Away QB Adjustment
+18.4
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-29.9
Model Spread
+2.0
Quarterbacks
K. Kolb
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+18.4
T. Jackson
Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
-10.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
7
Yards / Game
19
9
Passing Yards / Game
9
12
Rushing Yards / Game
24
15
EPA
EPA / Play
28
5
EPA / Pass
26
3
EPA / Rush
9
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
4
Interceptions / Game
27
3
Fumbles / Game
12
18
Turnover EPA / Game
4
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
10
4th Down Efficiency
4
30
RZ Efficiency
14
12
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
16
Yards / Game
28
18
Passing Yards / Game
23
23
Rushing Yards / Game
20
21
EPA
EPA / Play
25
7
EPA / Pass
20
8
EPA / Rush
27
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
2
Interceptions / Game
13
26
Fumbles / Game
17
12
Turnover EPA / Game
22
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
1
4th Down Efficiency
10
23
RZ Efficiency
21
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Seahawks
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
8-2
O/U