ARICardinals
2-2
27
TBD
Lumen Field
58°F
4 mph
3
SEASeahawks
2-3
TBD
Lumen Field
58°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
14
3
7
3
27
Seahawks
0
3
0
0
3
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
344
128
Total Plays
71
46
Yards / Play
4.8
2.8
EPA / Play
+0.01
-0.59
Passing Yards
282
114
Comp/Att
34/43(79%)
11/30(37%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
3.8
EPA / Pass
+0.25
-0.64
Rushing Yards
62
14
Rush Attempts
26
11
Yards / Rush
2.4
1.3
EPA / Rush
-0.31
-0.44
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
7
Passing 1st downs
16
6
Rushing 1st downs
4
--
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
50%
0%
3rd Down Conversions
8
--
3rd Down Attempts
16
11
Red Zone %
60%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.72
-9.24
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-10
-40
Sack EPA
-5.50
-11.73
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
76
56
Penalty EPA
-6.77
-5.85
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
N/A
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model50.2%
Spread Pick
Cardinals+3.0
Expected Value
+9.0%
Cover Probability
53.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-57
Home nfelo
1,444
Away nfelo
1,536
Home Field
+44.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-9.4
Home QB Adjustment
-0.7
Away QB Adjustment
+8.7
Market Regression
+12.4
Final Difference
1.2
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
K. Warner
Proj. Value
+2.9
Team Elo Adj
+8.7
M. Hasselbeck
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
-0.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
25
Yards / Game
12
23
Passing Yards / Game
8
5
Rushing Yards / Game
27
14
EPA
EPA / Play
17
21
EPA / Pass
13
28
EPA / Rush
19
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
11
Interceptions / Game
17
22
Fumbles / Game
31
23
Turnover EPA / Game
5
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
18
4th Down Efficiency
13
15
RZ Efficiency
1
21
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
20
Yards / Game
21
24
Passing Yards / Game
7
20
Rushing Yards / Game
26
16
EPA
EPA / Play
25
15
EPA / Pass
24
15
EPA / Rush
31
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
28
Interceptions / Game
24
8
Fumbles / Game
22
26
Turnover EPA / Game
7
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
11
4th Down Efficiency
22
19
RZ Efficiency
30
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
1-3-6
O/U
Seahawks
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
2-3-5
O/U