ARICardinals
1-5
10
TBD
Lumen Field
56°F
5 mph
20
SEASeahawks
3-2
TBD
Lumen Field
56°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
3
7
0
0
10
Seahawks
7
7
3
3
20
Spread
-9
Total
UNDER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
249
318
Total Plays
63
58
Yards / Play
4.0
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.19
-0.01
Passing Yards
122
203
Comp/Att
20/34(59%)
18/24(75%)
Yards / Pass
3.6
8.5
EPA / Pass
-0.42
+0.30
Rushing Yards
127
115
Rush Attempts
25
32
Yards / Rush
5.1
3.6
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
18
Passing 1st downs
7
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
33%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
+6.33
-8.79
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-28
-16
Sack EPA
-6.55
-3.94
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
59
22
Penalty EPA
-4.88
-3.65
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-9.0
Model
-9.0
Win Probability
Market77.7%
Model77.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+183
Home nfelo
1,518
Away nfelo
1,370
Home Field
+31.0
Base HFA
+43.1
Divisional Adj
-19.4
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.1
Time Adj
-7.7
Net QB Adjustment
+4.7
Home QB Adjustment
-4.5
Away QB Adjustment
-9.2
Market Regression
+61.3
Final Difference
216.8
Model Spread
-9.0
Quarterbacks
R. Dobbs
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-9.2
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
-4.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
24
Yards / Game
19
30
Passing Yards / Game
24
22
Rushing Yards / Game
3
31
EPA
EPA / Play
18
29
EPA / Pass
27
27
EPA / Rush
2
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
23
Interceptions / Game
15
19
Fumbles / Game
10
13
Turnover EPA / Game
20
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
31
4th Down Efficiency
28
15
RZ Efficiency
5
25
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
31
Yards / Game
22
25
Passing Yards / Game
7
3
Rushing Yards / Game
27
32
EPA
EPA / Play
9
31
EPA / Pass
12
31
EPA / Rush
12
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
16
Interceptions / Game
15
19
Fumbles / Game
1
31
Turnover EPA / Game
31
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
32
4th Down Efficiency
30
8
RZ Efficiency
26
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
1-9
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Seahawks
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U