ARICardinals
6-2
39
TBD
Lumen Field
49°F
032
SEASeahawks
4-4
TBD
Lumen Field
49°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
20
3
14
37
Seahawks
0
7
10
9
26
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
451
343
Total Plays
83
54
Yards / Play
5.4
6.4
EPA / Play
+0.06
-0.08
Passing Yards
334
228
Comp/Att
29/47(62%)
14/34(41%)
Yards / Pass
7.1
6.7
EPA / Pass
+0.01
-0.22
Rushing Yards
117
115
Rush Attempts
33
18
Yards / Rush
3.5
6.4
EPA / Rush
-0.13
+0.33
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
30
18
Passing 1st downs
20
7
Rushing 1st downs
5
9
Penalty 1st downs
5
2
3rd Down %
47%
13%
3rd Down Conversions
8
1
3rd Down Attempts
17
8
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-17.40
-4.35
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-29
-12
Sack EPA
-13.66
-2.46
Penalties
9
13
Penalty Yards
66
121
Penalty EPA
-8.27
-15.76
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model54.9%
Spread Pick
Cardinals+3.0
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+1
Home nfelo
1,621
Away nfelo
1,622
Home Field
+36.2
Base HFA
+61.8
Divisional Adj
-27.9
Home Bye Adj
+17.7
Away Bye Adj
-48.0
Surface Adj
+21.6
Time Adj
+11.1
Net QB Adjustment
-34.5
Home QB Adjustment
-8.1
Away QB Adjustment
+26.4
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
34.5
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+26.4
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-8.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
3
Yards / Game
2
1
Passing Yards / Game
2
6
Rushing Yards / Game
12
3
EPA
EPA / Play
2
8
EPA / Pass
3
6
EPA / Rush
11
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
5
Interceptions / Game
23
19
Fumbles / Game
28
14
Turnover EPA / Game
11
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
7
4th Down Efficiency
6
2
RZ Efficiency
10
3
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
13
Yards / Game
8
7
Passing Yards / Game
18
27
Rushing Yards / Game
3
8
EPA
EPA / Play
3
11
EPA / Pass
1
8
EPA / Rush
12
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
27
Interceptions / Game
7
4
Fumbles / Game
5
8
Turnover EPA / Game
27
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
12
4th Down Efficiency
1
12
RZ Efficiency
15
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U
Seahawks
5-5
SU
2-7-1
ATS
5-5
O/U