ARICardinals
9-1
3
TBD
Lumen Field
51°F
10 mph
19
SEASeahawks
6-4
TBD
Lumen Field
51°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
3
0
0
3
Seahawks
3
6
10
0
19
Spread
-7
Total
UNDER
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
204
293
Total Plays
49
58
Yards / Play
4.2
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.49
-0.11
Passing Yards
140
169
Comp/Att
14/26(54%)
17/22(77%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
7.7
EPA / Pass
-0.39
-0.05
Rushing Yards
64
124
Rush Attempts
20
29
Yards / Rush
3.2
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.15
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
16
Passing 1st downs
8
10
Rushing 1st downs
2
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
25%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
0%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.28
--
Sacks
3
7
Sack Yards
-9
-42
Sack EPA
-4.34
-9.95
Penalties
3
7
Penalty Yards
--
74
Penalty EPA
--
-4.30
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model72.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+175
Home nfelo
1,628
Away nfelo
1,546
Home Field
+44.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+49.3
Home QB Adjustment
+12.2
Away QB Adjustment
-37.0
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
171.0
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
D. Stanton
Proj. Value
-2.4
Team Elo Adj
-37.0
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+12.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
1
Yards / Game
28
1
Passing Yards / Game
28
6
Rushing Yards / Game
31
4
EPA
EPA / Play
26
4
EPA / Pass
20
4
EPA / Rush
31
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
12
Interceptions / Game
13
13
Fumbles / Game
5
15
Turnover EPA / Game
19
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
16
4th Down Efficiency
1
28
RZ Efficiency
28
22
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
5
Yards / Game
8
25
Passing Yards / Game
13
26
Rushing Yards / Game
1
17
EPA
EPA / Play
8
3
EPA / Pass
10
6
EPA / Rush
1
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
22
Interceptions / Game
5
9
Fumbles / Game
9
24
Turnover EPA / Game
31
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
8
4th Down Efficiency
29
5
RZ Efficiency
19
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
9-1
SU
8-2
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Seahawks
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U