ARICardinals
4-8
0
TBD
Lumen Field
48°F
8 mph
58
SEASeahawks
7-5
TBD
Lumen Field
48°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
0
0
0
0
Seahawks
10
22
13
7
52
Spread
-10
Total
OVER
36
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
154
493
Total Plays
58
65
Yards / Play
2.7
7.6
EPA / Play
-0.62
+0.36
Passing Yards
111
209
Comp/Att
19/39(49%)
12/22(55%)
Yards / Pass
2.8
9.5
EPA / Pass
-0.88
+0.45
Rushing Yards
43
284
Rush Attempts
16
42
Yards / Rush
2.7
6.8
EPA / Rush
-0.19
+0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
22
Passing 1st downs
6
7
Rushing 1st downs
2
13
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
29%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
NaN%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
--
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
6
3
Interceptions
4
1
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-27.87
+6.10
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-22
-7
Sack EPA
-9.98
-2.11
Penalties
9
10
Penalty Yards
79
97
Penalty EPA
-15.87
-6.44
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-10.5
Current
-10.0
Model
-10.0
Win Probability
Market79.5%
Model79.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+248
Home nfelo
1,561
Away nfelo
1,404
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+35.2
Home QB Adjustment
+31.6
Away QB Adjustment
-3.6
Market Regression
-12.0
Final Difference
235.4
Model Spread
-10.0
Quarterbacks
J. Skelton
Proj. Value
-4.6
Team Elo Adj
-3.6
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+31.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
1
Yards / Game
32
3
Passing Yards / Game
18
2
Rushing Yards / Game
32
11
EPA
EPA / Play
32
5
EPA / Pass
32
5
EPA / Rush
32
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
18
Interceptions / Game
32
6
Fumbles / Game
25
19
Turnover EPA / Game
6
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
21
4th Down Efficiency
22
2
RZ Efficiency
31
6
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
17
Yards / Game
14
11
Passing Yards / Game
23
15
Rushing Yards / Game
4
28
EPA
EPA / Play
2
2
EPA / Pass
4
2
EPA / Rush
5
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
1
Interceptions / Game
5
2
Fumbles / Game
22
12
Turnover EPA / Game
31
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
3
4th Down Efficiency
12
13
RZ Efficiency
15
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
2-8
SU
3-6-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
Seahawks
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U