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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. cardinals @ seahawks week 14, 2012

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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ARI logo
ARICardinals
4-8
0
TBD
Lumen Field
48°F
8 mph
58
SEASeahawks
7-5
SEA logo
TBD
Lumen Field
48°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
0
0
0
0
Seahawks
10
22
13
7
52

Spread

SEA logo
-10

Total

OVER
36

Game Statistics

General
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo
Total Yards
154
493
Total Plays
58
65
Yards / Play
2.7
7.6
EPA / Play
-0.62
+0.36
Passing Yards
111
209
Comp/Att
19/39(49%)
12/22(55%)
Yards / Pass
2.8
9.5
EPA / Pass
-0.88
+0.45
Rushing Yards
43
284
Rush Attempts
16
42
Yards / Rush
2.7
6.8
EPA / Rush
-0.19
+0.17
Downs & Conversions
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo
1st Downs
10
22
Passing 1st downs
6
7
Rushing 1st downs
2
13
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
29%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
NaN%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
--
5
Negative Plays
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo
Turnovers
6
3
Interceptions
4
1
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-27.87
+6.10
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-22
-7
Sack EPA
-9.98
-2.11
Penalties
9
10
Penalty Yards
79
97
Penalty EPA
-15.87
-6.44

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-10.5
Current
-10.0
Model
-10.0

Win Probability

Market79.5%
Model79.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+248
Home nfelo
1,561
Away nfelo
1,404
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+35.2
Home QB Adjustment
+31.6
Away QB Adjustment
-3.6
Market Regression
-12.0
Final Difference
235.4
Model Spread
-10.0

Quarterbacks

J. Skelton headshot

J. Skelton

Proj. Value
-4.6
Team Elo Adj
-3.6
Value
Ptile
11/20
-12.0
1
11/27
-8.7
4
12/18
-0.6
47
12/24
-6.8
10
01/01
0.2
54
09/09
-5.1
19
10/21
-5.7
14
10/29
-2.5
33
11/04
-2.0
36
11/18
-6.9
10
R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+31.6
Value
Ptile
09/24
0.1
50
09/30
-7.8
7
10/07
-2.5
33
10/14
4.3
77
10/18
-7.6
7
10/28
3.9
74
11/04
3.3
71
11/11
1.2
58
11/25
6.0
87
12/02
9.2
95

Team Matchup Ranks

Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
31
1
Yards / Game
32
3
Passing Yards / Game
18
2
Rushing Yards / Game
32
11

EPA

EPA / Play
32
5
EPA / Pass
32
5
EPA / Rush
32
24

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
18
Interceptions / Game
32
6
Fumbles / Game
25
19
Turnover EPA / Game
6
25

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
32
21
4th Down Efficiency
22
2
RZ Efficiency
31
6
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
10
17
Yards / Game
14
11
Passing Yards / Game
23
15
Rushing Yards / Game
4
28

EPA

EPA / Play
2
2
EPA / Pass
4
2
EPA / Rush
5
8

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
11
1
Interceptions / Game
5
2
Fumbles / Game
22
12
Turnover EPA / Game
31
26

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
12
3
4th Down Efficiency
12
13
RZ Efficiency
15
3

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

ARI logo

Cardinals

2-8
SU
3-6-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/23
21
W
W
U
09/30
3
W
L
O
10/04
-14
L
L
U
10/14
-3
L
L
U
10/21
-7
L
P
U
10/29
-21
L
L
U
11/04
-14
L
L
O
11/18
-4
L
W
U
11/25
-14
L
L
O
12/02
-1
L
W
U
SEA logo

Seahawks

6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/24
2
W
W
U
09/30
-6
L
L
U
10/07
4
W
W
U
10/14
1
W
W
O
10/18
-7
L
W
U
10/28
-4
L
L
O
11/04
10
W
W
O
11/11
21
W
W
U
11/25
-3
L
L
O
12/02
6
W
W
O