ARICardinals
3-12
24
TBD
Lumen Field
45°F
5 mph
27
SEASeahawks
9-6
TBD
Lumen Field
45°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
3
10
2
3
18
Seahawks
7
7
7
6
27
Spread
+15
Total
OVER
39.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
200
291
Total Plays
65
61
Yards / Play
3.1
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.29
-0.29
Passing Yards
113
109
Comp/Att
18/34(53%)
12/21(57%)
Yards / Pass
3.3
5.2
EPA / Pass
-0.62
-0.48
Rushing Yards
87
182
Rush Attempts
25
34
Yards / Rush
3.5
5.4
EPA / Rush
-0.05
+0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
16
Passing 1st downs
8
7
Rushing 1st downs
4
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
24%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
17
14
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-8.82
-6.16
Sacks
6
6
Sack Yards
-36
-43
Sack EPA
-14.57
-9.30
Penalties
3
1
Penalty Yards
20
--
Penalty EPA
-2.97
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-13.5
Current
-15.0
Model
-15.0
Win Probability
Market88.4%
Model88.4%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+353
Home nfelo
1,560
Away nfelo
1,316
Home Field
+52.0
Base HFA
+57.9
Divisional Adj
-26.1
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.2
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+57.4
Home QB Adjustment
+7.0
Away QB Adjustment
-50.4
Market Regression
+34.5
Final Difference
352.8
Model Spread
-15.0
Quarterbacks
J. Rosen
Proj. Value
-5.8
Team Elo Adj
-50.4
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+7.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
13
Yards / Game
32
19
Passing Yards / Game
28
24
Rushing Yards / Game
32
18
EPA
EPA / Play
32
19
EPA / Pass
32
11
EPA / Rush
30
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
8
Interceptions / Game
28
19
Fumbles / Game
22
3
Turnover EPA / Game
3
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
5
4th Down Efficiency
32
5
RZ Efficiency
8
8
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
26
Yards / Game
18
21
Passing Yards / Game
19
14
Rushing Yards / Game
1
32
EPA
EPA / Play
6
14
EPA / Pass
8
12
EPA / Rush
5
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
4
Interceptions / Game
2
29
Fumbles / Game
2
15
Turnover EPA / Game
31
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
16
4th Down Efficiency
3
24
RZ Efficiency
6
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
2-8
SU
3-6-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Seahawks
7-3
SU
7-2-1
ATS
6-4
O/U