ARICardinals
4-1
13
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
45°F
12 mph
25
PITSteelers
3-2
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
45°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
7
3
0
3
13
Steelers
0
3
12
10
25
Spread
+6
Total
UNDER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
469
310
Total Plays
66
54
Yards / Play
7.1
5.7
EPA / Play
-0.13
+0.08
Passing Yards
414
169
Comp/Att
29/45(64%)
11/21(52%)
Yards / Pass
9.2
8.0
EPA / Pass
+0.05
+0.20
Rushing Yards
55
141
Rush Attempts
20
32
Yards / Rush
2.8
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.25
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
14
Passing 1st downs
18
6
Rushing 1st downs
2
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
42%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
25%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-13.41
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-7
-5
Sack EPA
-1.59
-1.34
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
111
48
Penalty EPA
-18.71
-0.07
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market69.8%
Model63.3%
Spread Pick
Steelers+6.0
Expected Value
+7.6%
Cover Probability
55.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-49
Home nfelo
1,572
Away nfelo
1,593
Home Field
+84.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-113.1
Home QB Adjustment
-94.3
Away QB Adjustment
+18.8
Market Regression
-26.5
Final Difference
-94.8
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+18.8
M. Vick
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-94.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
9
Yards / Game
2
19
Passing Yards / Game
2
30
Rushing Yards / Game
12
5
EPA
EPA / Play
2
9
EPA / Pass
3
13
EPA / Rush
11
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
18
Interceptions / Game
23
8
Fumbles / Game
28
2
Turnover EPA / Game
11
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
15
4th Down Efficiency
6
4
RZ Efficiency
10
6
Steelers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
13
Yards / Game
3
7
Passing Yards / Game
13
27
Rushing Yards / Game
14
8
EPA
EPA / Play
9
11
EPA / Pass
12
8
EPA / Rush
7
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
27
Interceptions / Game
29
4
Fumbles / Game
7
8
Turnover EPA / Game
16
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
12
4th Down Efficiency
29
12
RZ Efficiency
13
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
7-3
O/U
Steelers
7-3
SU
8-1-1
ATS
2-8
O/U