ARICardinals
3-4
24
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
027
MINVikings
2-5
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Cardinals
0
14
1
3
0
18
Vikings
0
10
0
14
3
27
Spread
+7.5
Total
OVER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
225
507
Total Plays
54
70
Yards / Play
4.2
7.2
EPA / Play
-0.03
+0.00
Passing Yards
172
427
Comp/Att
16/27(59%)
36/47(77%)
Yards / Pass
6.4
9.1
EPA / Pass
-0.01
+0.27
Rushing Yards
53
80
Rush Attempts
21
20
Yards / Rush
2.5
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
28
Passing 1st downs
9
22
Rushing 1st downs
3
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
23%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
3
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-14.06
Sacks
6
3
Sack Yards
-24
-19
Sack EPA
-4.23
-4.50
Penalties
7
11
Penalty Yards
39
65
Penalty EPA
-3.23
-5.96
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-9.0
Current
-7.5
Model
-10.0
Win Probability
Market74.4%
Model79.7%
Spread Pick
Vikings-7.5
Expected Value
+20.0%
Cover Probability
62.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+280
Home nfelo
1,565
Away nfelo
1,389
Home Field
+95.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+8.3
Home QB Adjustment
-19.7
Away QB Adjustment
-28.1
Market Regression
-9.0
Final Difference
237.8
Model Spread
-10.0
Quarterbacks
D. Anderson
Proj. Value
-3.3
Team Elo Adj
-28.1
B. Favre
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-19.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
18
Yards / Game
31
8
Passing Yards / Game
22
6
Rushing Yards / Game
32
9
EPA
EPA / Play
31
9
EPA / Pass
31
10
EPA / Rush
25
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
15
Interceptions / Game
21
17
Fumbles / Game
22
22
Turnover EPA / Game
5
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
24
4th Down Efficiency
24
19
RZ Efficiency
29
23
Vikings Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
30
Yards / Game
23
28
Passing Yards / Game
12
27
Rushing Yards / Game
10
30
EPA
EPA / Play
27
14
EPA / Pass
30
19
EPA / Rush
14
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
2
Interceptions / Game
32
11
Fumbles / Game
22
2
Turnover EPA / Game
2
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
11
4th Down Efficiency
15
21
RZ Efficiency
30
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
7-3
O/U
Vikings
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U