LACChargers
3-3
14
TBD
New Era Field
51°F
4 mph
23
BUFBills
4-1
TBD
New Era Field
51°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
7
0
7
0
14
Bills
3
10
7
3
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
263
370
Total Plays
48
62
Yards / Play
5.5
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.05
+0.10
Passing Yards
191
--
Comp/Att
22/29(76%)
25/30(83%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
--
EPA / Pass
+0.01
+0.44
Rushing Yards
72
109
Rush Attempts
17
32
Yards / Rush
4.2
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.00
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
22
Passing 1st downs
11
15
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
64%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-15.30
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-17
--
Sack EPA
-9.24
--
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
35
--
Penalty EPA
-2.62
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
14
Yards / Game
10
13
Passing Yards / Game
14
17
Rushing Yards / Game
21
22
EPA
EPA / Play
1
11
EPA / Pass
3
16
EPA / Rush
7
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
10
Interceptions / Game
8
28
Fumbles / Game
9
7
Turnover EPA / Game
23
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
9
4th Down Efficiency
3
16
RZ Efficiency
12
5
Bills Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
17
Yards / Game
25
25
Passing Yards / Game
22
22
Rushing Yards / Game
13
11
EPA
EPA / Play
15
27
EPA / Pass
24
20
EPA / Rush
9
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
20
Interceptions / Game
17
17
Fumbles / Game
29
17
Turnover EPA / Game
7
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
19
4th Down Efficiency
22
15
RZ Efficiency
22
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
6-4
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U