LACChargers
8-5
13
TBD
New Era Field
36°F
15 mph
20
BUFBills
6-7
TBD
New Era Field
36°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
3
7
0
3
13
Bills
7
6
0
7
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
308
256
Total Plays
68
60
Yards / Play
4.5
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.07
+0.00
Passing Yards
192
101
Comp/Att
16/35(46%)
11/33(33%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
3.1
EPA / Pass
-0.12
-0.36
Rushing Yards
116
155
Rush Attempts
30
25
Yards / Rush
3.9
6.2
EPA / Rush
-0.18
+0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
17
Passing 1st downs
8
6
Rushing 1st downs
5
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
28%
17%
3rd Down Conversions
5
2
3rd Down Attempts
18
12
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-3.32
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-20
-6
Sack EPA
-4.73
-2.75
Penalties
9
4
Penalty Yards
121
60
Penalty EPA
-11.09
-5.52
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
27
Yards / Game
17
14
Passing Yards / Game
23
6
Rushing Yards / Game
6
29
EPA
EPA / Play
18
26
EPA / Pass
21
17
EPA / Rush
6
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
2
Interceptions / Game
17
26
Fumbles / Game
3
24
Turnover EPA / Game
28
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
9
4th Down Efficiency
26
11
RZ Efficiency
4
32
Bills Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
21
Yards / Game
9
30
Passing Yards / Game
1
29
Rushing Yards / Game
23
11
EPA
EPA / Play
11
24
EPA / Pass
7
23
EPA / Rush
22
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
28
Interceptions / Game
12
15
Fumbles / Game
21
17
Turnover EPA / Game
5
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
14
4th Down Efficiency
11
28
RZ Efficiency
15
26
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U