LAC logo
LAC
2-2
23
16
DEN
3-2
DEN logo
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
65°F
7 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
10
10
3
0
23
Broncos
0
0
0
16
16

Spread

LAC logo
-3

Total

OVER
37

Game Statistics

General
Chargers logo
Broncos logo
Total Yards
350
316
Total Plays
75
54
Yards / Play
4.7
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.11
-0.06
Passing Yards
222
206
Comp/Att
21/34(62%)
19/34(56%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
6.1
EPA / Pass
+0.24
-0.10
Rushing Yards
128
110
Rush Attempts
38
18
Yards / Rush
3.4
6.1
EPA / Rush
-0.09
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
Chargers logo
Broncos logo
1st Downs
22
17
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
10
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
61%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
11
3
3rd Down Attempts
18
11
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Chargers logo
Broncos logo
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-9.52
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-15
-10
Sack EPA
-3.86
-3.07
Penalties
3
7
Penalty Yards
20
37
Penalty EPA
-2.29
-6.28

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
LAC logo
LACFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-1.0

Win Probability

Market59.7%
Model53.0%
Spread Pick
DEN logo
Broncos+3.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+8.7%
Cover Probability
53.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+18
Home nfelo
1,490
Away nfelo
1,490
Home Field
+13.7
Base HFA
+45.7
Divisional Adj
-20.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-35.6
Surface Adj
+15.9
Time Adj
+8.2
Net QB Adjustment
+4.9
Home QB Adjustment
-7.8
Away QB Adjustment
-12.7
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-20.7
Model Spread
+1.0

Quarterbacks

Team Matchup Ranks

Chargers Offense vs Broncos Defense
Chargers logo
Broncos logo

Total

Points / Game
13
3
Yards / Game
20
10
Passing Yards / Game
16
30
Rushing Yards / Game
20
5

EPA

EPA / Play
13
3
EPA / Pass
14
2
EPA / Rush
19
4

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
26
29
Interceptions / Game
5
11
Fumbles / Game
3
13
Turnover EPA / Game
29
31

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
13
13
4th Down Efficiency
13
15
RZ Efficiency
18
1
Broncos Offense vs Chargers Defense
Broncos logo
Chargers logo

Total

Points / Game
10
2
Yards / Game
22
11
Passing Yards / Game
27
18
Rushing Yards / Game
17
14

EPA

EPA / Play
12
4
EPA / Pass
16
4
EPA / Rush
15
11

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
32
14
Interceptions / Game
15
7
Fumbles / Game
12
13
Turnover EPA / Game
25
23

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
18
4
4th Down Efficiency
9
25
RZ Efficiency
8
2