LACChargers
8-3
30
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
34°F
8 mph
23
CLEBrowns
1-10
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
34°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
10
3
14
3
30
Browns
7
0
0
16
23
Spread
+13.5
Total
OVER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
477
372
Total Plays
59
70
Yards / Play
8.1
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.40
+0.19
Passing Yards
386
257
Comp/Att
19/26(73%)
25/45(56%)
Yards / Pass
14.8
5.7
EPA / Pass
+1.18
+0.25
Rushing Yards
91
115
Rush Attempts
32
23
Yards / Rush
2.8
5.0
EPA / Rush
-0.30
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
24
Passing 1st downs
16
18
Rushing 1st downs
4
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
50%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
5
8
3rd Down Attempts
10
16
Red Zone %
33%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-4.56
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-8
-14
Sack EPA
-1.37
-5.95
Penalties
1
4
Penalty Yards
--
30
Penalty EPA
--
-2.45
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-13.5
Current
-13.5
Model
-12.0
Win Probability
Market86.2%
Model83.8%
Spread Pick
Browns+13.5
Expected Value
+2.3%
Cover Probability
53.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-251
Home nfelo
1,303
Away nfelo
1,605
Home Field
+51.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+0.3
Home QB Adjustment
+18.0
Away QB Adjustment
+17.7
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-286.0
Model Spread
+12.0
Quarterbacks
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+17.7
B. Quinn
Proj. Value
-4.9
Team Elo Adj
+18.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
21
Yards / Game
10
31
Passing Yards / Game
4
28
Rushing Yards / Game
31
28
EPA
EPA / Play
1
24
EPA / Pass
1
29
EPA / Rush
28
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
23
Interceptions / Game
6
29
Fumbles / Game
3
28
Turnover EPA / Game
32
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
17
4th Down Efficiency
13
15
RZ Efficiency
10
4
Browns Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
10
Yards / Game
32
12
Passing Yards / Game
30
26
Rushing Yards / Game
8
21
EPA
EPA / Play
27
23
EPA / Pass
32
19
EPA / Rush
15
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
25
Interceptions / Game
22
20
Fumbles / Game
25
14
Turnover EPA / Game
6
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
22
4th Down Efficiency
4
20
RZ Efficiency
28
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Browns
1-9
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U