LACChargers
5-5
25
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
024
ARICardinals
4-7
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
0
14
3
8
25
Cardinals
7
10
0
7
24
Spread
+2.5
Total
OVER
48.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
313
366
Total Plays
65
64
Yards / Play
4.8
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.01
-0.03
Passing Yards
248
185
Comp/Att
35/48(73%)
18/29(62%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
6.4
EPA / Pass
+0.07
+0.26
Rushing Yards
65
181
Rush Attempts
13
34
Yards / Rush
5.0
5.3
EPA / Rush
+0.10
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
20
Passing 1st downs
18
10
Rushing 1st downs
4
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
46%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
6
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-7.55
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-28
-6
Sack EPA
-8.39
-1.07
Penalties
4
3
Penalty Yards
30
--
Penalty EPA
-2.69
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-2.0
Current
-2.5
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model51.9%
Spread Pick
Cardinals+2.5
Expected Value
+2.1%
Cover Probability
53.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+16
Home nfelo
1,444
Away nfelo
1,509
Home Field
+61.5
Base HFA
+40.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.1
Time Adj
+7.2
Net QB Adjustment
+19.2
Home QB Adjustment
+8.0
Away QB Adjustment
-11.2
Market Regression
-3.9
Final Difference
-13.4
Model Spread
+1.0
Quarterbacks
J. Herbert
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-11.2
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+8.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
31
Yards / Game
8
21
Passing Yards / Game
5
4
Rushing Yards / Game
30
14
EPA
EPA / Play
18
21
EPA / Pass
12
22
EPA / Rush
17
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
10
Interceptions / Game
6
22
Fumbles / Game
27
10
Turnover EPA / Game
29
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
27
4th Down Efficiency
15
15
RZ Efficiency
18
28
Cardinals Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
23
Yards / Game
22
20
Passing Yards / Game
7
7
Rushing Yards / Game
22
27
EPA
EPA / Play
30
14
EPA / Pass
28
9
EPA / Rush
15
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
16
Interceptions / Game
28
5
Fumbles / Game
7
27
Turnover EPA / Game
9
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
11
4th Down Efficiency
24
9
RZ Efficiency
11
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U
Cardinals
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U