LACChargers
5-9
17
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
28°F
15 mph
20
KCChiefs
4-9
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
28°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
7
0
7
3
17
Chiefs
7
0
3
10
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
329
323
Total Plays
58
61
Yards / Play
5.7
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.18
+0.19
Passing Yards
164
203
Comp/Att
15/27(56%)
19/28(68%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
7.3
EPA / Pass
+0.14
+0.24
Rushing Yards
165
120
Rush Attempts
29
32
Yards / Rush
5.7
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.20
+0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
24
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
9
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
36%
62%
3rd Down Conversions
4
8
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-4.48
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-11
--
Sack EPA
-2.92
-0.38
Penalties
7
2
Penalty Yards
47
10
Penalty EPA
-6.23
-0.87
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
23
Yards / Game
11
22
Passing Yards / Game
14
8
Rushing Yards / Game
22
27
EPA
EPA / Play
9
21
EPA / Pass
7
20
EPA / Rush
22
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
15
Interceptions / Game
16
25
Fumbles / Game
12
12
Turnover EPA / Game
24
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
22
4th Down Efficiency
1
30
RZ Efficiency
29
6
Chiefs Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
16
Yards / Game
4
11
Passing Yards / Game
2
27
Rushing Yards / Game
5
7
EPA
EPA / Play
4
19
EPA / Pass
17
23
EPA / Rush
1
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
26
Interceptions / Game
29
11
Fumbles / Game
5
16
Turnover EPA / Game
14
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
16
4th Down Efficiency
23
28
RZ Efficiency
19
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
2-8
SU
1-8-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U